Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x004bc55ce1b049908e2eef41e38ffafe74ead10fdd87e4cdbba9e89fc62c1fcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof 1win, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $316,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $401,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed 1win | 0c | 57,711$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.81 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Vici Gaming | 69c | 10,640$7,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,295.61 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed 1win | 50c | 10,393$5,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,175.93 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked 1win | 69c | 10,049$6,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,973.86 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Vici Gaming | 22c | 10,000$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,810.98 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed 1win | 70c | 7,809$5,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,466.29 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Vici Gaming | 20c | 6,601$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,262.84 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 6,524$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,579.66 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed 1win | 67c | 6,348$4,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,238.48 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 6,050$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230.1 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 68c | 5,925$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked 1win | 67c | 5,211$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,473.61 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vici Gaming | 21c | 5,065$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,021.23 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed 1win | 73c | 4,701$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420.09 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 4,440$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,125.76 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3954…22d9backed 1win | 74c | 4,199$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Vici Gaming | 25c | 3,163$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.65 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed 1win | 58c | 2,858$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.58 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked 1win | 66c | 2,817$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.66 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 2,767$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.54 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked 1win | 44c | 2,642$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.66 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Vici Gaming | 79c | 2,542$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.87 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 2,527$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.31 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 2,492$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 2,284$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.66 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed 1win | 28c | 2,278$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.28 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vici Gaming | 25c | 2,203$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.93 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 2,161$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.55 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 2,004$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.95 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 1,794$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.79 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 1,766$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.01 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 1,750$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.48 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed 1win | 51c | 1,741$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.13 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 1,706$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.92 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vici Gaming | 28c | 1,650$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.35 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 1,600$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed 1win | 72c | 1,592$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.56 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 1,587$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.77 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed 1win | 32c | 1,580$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.06 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked 1win | 34c | 1,577$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.65 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed 1win | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Vici Gaming | 26c | 1,399$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.36 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed 1win | 80c | 1,363$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.59 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed 1win | 79c | 1,335$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.2 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed 1win | 32c | 1,262$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 1,259$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.43 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 1win | 41c | 1,226$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.66 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 1,214$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.75 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 1,170$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.34 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed 1win | 73c | 1,100$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Vici Gaming | 18c | 1,014$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.57 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed 1win | 69c | 1,008$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.95 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed 1win | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Vici Gaming | 56c | 951.33$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.59 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e13…b01bbacked 1win | 76c | 948$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.68 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed 1win | 54c | 934.72$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.51 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed 1win | 16c | 899.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked 1win | 80c | 888.82$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.8 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…1c02backed Vici Gaming | 64c | 886.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked 1win | 71c | 850$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.5 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Vici Gaming | 29c | 850$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed 1win | 33c | 837.57$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.97 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked 1win | 59c | 823.71$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.99 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 792.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.11 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked 1win | 9c | 775.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…8b13backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming | 18c | 729.73$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.98 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed 1win | 71c | 723.41$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.78 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 700$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed 1win | 37c | 699.98$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.99 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 1win | 69c | 633.93$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.67 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 620$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.4 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed 1win | 75c | 600$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.5 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…438fbacked 1win | 76c | 576.47$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.12 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked 1win | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Vici Gaming | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 492.68$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.68 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked 1win | 53c | 486.32$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed 1win | 36c | 485.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.64 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed 1win | 68c | 462.68$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.37 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked 1win | 62c | 448.25$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.91 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 57c | 410.74$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.45 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…1683backed 1win | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 365.39$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.48 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed 1win | 61c | 350$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 1win | 23c | 325$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe990…d17bbacked Vici Gaming | 32c | 314.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.84 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked 1win | 21c | 308.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked 1win | 77c | 302.86$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.89 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked 1win | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked 1win | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…0bd8backed 1win | 40c | 292.47$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked 1win | 47c | 289.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.59 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked 1win | 71c | 289.47$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.77 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed 1win | 43c | 288.76$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.71 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…3e17backed 1win | 59c | 285.89$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner1win won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.