Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87a39dd8aae0efe1509ec124578224511a48b3234eceb264b00660ea3140e59e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 65c | 58,221$38,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,220.56 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 25,430$6,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,636.57 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 15,024$5,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,191.97 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 14,075$4,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,886.22 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win | 70c | 13,751$9,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,129.91 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked 1win | 69c | 10,133$7,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.67 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Vici Gaming | 27c | 9,873$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.76 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming | 28c | 9,272$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.66 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 8,138$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.94 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Vici Gaming | 23c | 6,490$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed 1win | 69c | 5,833$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.19 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 5,486$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.8 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked 1win | 70c | 4,750$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Vici Gaming | 21c | 4,694$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked 1win | 73c | 4,643$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.08 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed 1win | 75c | 4,497$3,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.65 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 4,475$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.49 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Vici Gaming | 25c | 4,328$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.98 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 4,300$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed 1win | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…4281backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 3,875$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.83 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 3,604$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.59 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 3,260$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.17 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked 1win | 72c | 3,204$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.92 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked Vici Gaming | 19c | 3,174$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.06 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 3,127$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.24 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed 1win | 73c | 3,120$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.64 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…6343backed 1win | 73c | 3,046$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.72 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed 1win | 66c | 3,025$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.21 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 2,900$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked 1win | 75c | 2,750$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed 1win | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.93 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed 1win | 69c | 2,687$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.27 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked 1win | 69c | 2,591$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.84 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed 1win | 79c | 2,526$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.92 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Vici Gaming | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 2,159$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.77 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked 1win | 74c | 2,152$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.62 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 2,142$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Vici Gaming | 18c | 1,971$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.79 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 1,846$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.51 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 1,750$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Vici Gaming | 26c | 1,572$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.75 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 1,500$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.49 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Vici Gaming | 20c | 1,499$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 1,478$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.14 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 1,474$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 1,456$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Vici Gaming | 29c | 1,450$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.5 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed 1win | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3a0dbacked 1win | 69c | 1,448$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.83 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…ba3bbacked Vici Gaming | 29c | 1,400$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 1win | 72c | 1,320$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.69 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 1,302$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.62 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…e603backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 1,244$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…8b21backed 1win | 68c | 1,143$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.46 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 1,094$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.89 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84df…08b7backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed 1win | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Vici Gaming | 12c | 1,000$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed 1win | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Vici Gaming | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 999.96$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 983.98$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.63 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 975$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked 1win | 67c | 895.52$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked 1win | 67c | 894.88$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.31 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 892$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.03 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5ecfbacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 790$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.6 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 777$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.72 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f8…f047backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 1win | 69c | 673.96$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.2 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed 1win | 77c | 672.33$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed 1win | 70c | 640$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.6 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked 1win | 72c | 631.44$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.8 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked 1win | 68c | 623.65$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.73 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked 1win | 66c | 575.46$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.66 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…a02abacked 1win | 65c | 550$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed 1win | 65c | 528.97$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.14 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13b…87bdbacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 523.42$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.43 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed 1win | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked 1win | 66c | 501.52$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.52 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed 1win | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked 1win | 74c | 450.16$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked 1win | 65c | 416.05$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.62 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vici Gaming | 24c | 412.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked 1win | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…b262backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 399.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 398.81$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed 1win | 70c | 395.69$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.98 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…066dbacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 387$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked 1win | 71c | 379.57$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…3e17backed 1win | 67c | 366.72$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…1310backed 1win | 69c | 362.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.51 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Vici Gaming | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed 1win | 66c | 346.17$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.