NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: LA Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa0eafff33c8424c73e6cb87e9c34519bb854dd0314fa69e6aa5fc526353d74b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Warriorsof LA Lakers, Golden State Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden State Warriors | 78c | 4,776$3,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.03 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked LA Lakers | 55c | 4,637$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.13 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Golden State Warriors | 49c | 2,681$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.14 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Warriors | 44c | 2,040$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.94 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LA Lakers | 50c | 1,736$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.52 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed LA Lakers | 57c | 1,714$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.61 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…9b39backed LA Lakers | 72c | 1,394$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Golden State Warriors | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.45 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Golden State Warriors | 45c | 953.91$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.97 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked LA Lakers | 15c | 945.7$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.43 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Golden State Warriors | 72c | 898.87$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.49 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked LA Lakers | 43c | 773.38$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.53 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked LA Lakers | 55c | 733.64$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ed…ee18backed LA Lakers | 28c | 731.25$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed LA Lakers | 28c | 719.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Golden State Warriors | 43c | 687.21$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Golden State Warriors | 47c | 637.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed LA Lakers | 54c | 629.63$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Golden State Warriors | 43c | 597.56$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.82 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LA Lakers | 43c | 564.68$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.11 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed LA Lakers | 14c | 557.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Golden State Warriors | 79c | 555.04$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed Golden State Warriors | 72c | 546.68$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed LA Lakers | 52c | 537$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.24 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Golden State Warriors | 54c | 518$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.53 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Golden State Warriors | 46c | 462.35$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.69 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Golden State Warriors | 50c | 445.63$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.87 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Golden State Warriors | 55c | 413$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.42 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Golden State Warriors | 64c | 377.99$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.05 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…d5a6backed LA Lakers | 55c | 333$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.15 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…bb13backed Golden State Warriors | 44c | 324.55$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +114%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Golden State Warriors | 46c | 316.06$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.12 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Golden State Warriors | 74c | 295.84$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Golden State Warriors | 45c | 295$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.25 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked LA Lakers | 51c | 285.48$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LA Lakers | 55c | 283.01$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.09 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb7…a3cdbacked LA Lakers | 62c | 266.92$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…f767backed LA Lakers | 60c | 232$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.2 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Golden State Warriors | 48c | 232$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.25 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…09d2backed Golden State Warriors | 42c | 230.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…bcf2backed Golden State Warriors | 42c | 228.88$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed LA Lakers | 56c | 227$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed LA Lakers | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Golden State Warriors | 74c | 206.67$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…9014backed Golden State Warriors | 71c | 203.03$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Golden State Warriors | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4a…823abacked LA Lakers | 58c | 187.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed LA Lakers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…c3a0backed LA Lakers | 57c | 184$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked LA Lakers | 39c | 174.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Golden State Warriors | 73c | 164.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…e0c5backed LA Lakers | 60c | 162.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…c836backed LA Lakers | 60c | 149.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed LA Lakers | 56c | 138.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked LA Lakers | 53c | 133.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Golden State Warriors | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 202 | 37.1%75 W · 127 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Golden State Warriors | 72c | 120.52$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked LA Lakers | 57c | 116.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Warriors | 47c | 115.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked LA Lakers | 40c | 113.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…00c1backed Golden State Warriors | 53c | 112.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed LA Lakers | 28c | 108.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Golden State Warriors | 46c | 105.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…adefbacked Golden State Warriors | 69c | 105$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Golden State Warriors | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…cbf5backed LA Lakers | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Golden State Warriors | 42c | 99.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Golden State Warriors | 46c | 92.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed LA Lakers | 23c | 86.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6959…084fbacked LA Lakers | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd583…588ebacked LA Lakers | 55c | 82.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked LA Lakers | 59c | 78.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden State Warriors | 53c | 77.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…215fbacked Golden State Warriors | 49c | 69.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…159fbacked LA Lakers | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed LA Lakers | 58c | 59.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed LA Lakers | 56c | 59.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…a760backed Golden State Warriors | 77c | 59.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LA Lakers | 51c | 57.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed LA Lakers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Golden State Warriors | 35c | 55.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 59cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Golden State Warriors | 45c | 51.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked LA Lakers | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…194cbacked LA Lakers | 45c | 46.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223b…971cbacked Golden State Warriors | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed LA Lakers | 61c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Golden State Warriors | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed LA Lakers | 42c | 40.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed LA Lakers | 61c | 39.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed LA Lakers | 60c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Golden State Warriors | 40c | 37.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Golden State Warriors | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed LA Lakers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed LA Lakers | 55c | 33.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…9d04backed LA Lakers | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed LA Lakers | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed LA Lakers | 56c | 29.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked LA Lakers | 35c | 29.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…68f9backed LA Lakers | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…c238backed Golden State Warriors | 48c | 25.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.