Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x579495da1e74f8c41ce4676ac088101236fedb241d35e97870239e9e3691c0ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Midtjyllandof FC Midtjylland, Bohemian FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bohemian FC | 57c | 6,477$3,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,663.09 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC Midtjylland | 37c | 5,183$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.36 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bohemian FC | 62c | 4,775$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.99 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FC Midtjylland | 44c | 3,515$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.88 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Midtjylland | 43c | 2,204$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.43 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Midtjylland | 42c | 555.82$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.37 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Bohemian FC | 58c | 509.2$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.78 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed FC Midtjylland | 46c | 315.03$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.59 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Midtjylland | 43c | 282.52$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.46 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked FC Midtjylland | 46c | 267.65$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Bohemian FC | 62c | 225.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.31 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Midtjylland | 50c | 218.07$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Bohemian FC | 62c | 185.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Bohemian FC | 59c | 168.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Midtjylland | 45c | 150.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.74 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Bohemian FC | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed FC Midtjylland | 44c | 144.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bohemian FC | 56c | 140.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked FC Midtjylland | 44c | 139.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Bohemian FC | 60c | 128.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Bohemian FC | 60c | 125.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…7551backed FC Midtjylland | 40c | 124.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Bohemian FC | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FC Midtjylland | 42c | 116$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed FC Midtjylland | 47c | 115.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Bohemian FC | 67c | 110.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bohemian FC | 55c | 97.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Midtjylland | 44c | 85.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Bohemian FC | 58c | 84.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Bohemian FC | 62c | 82.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked FC Midtjylland | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Bohemian FC | 61c | 65.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FC Midtjylland | 39c | 61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FC Midtjylland | 33c | 60.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 376 | 46.5%175 W · 201 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed FC Midtjylland | 37c | 58.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +10.5wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed FC Midtjylland | 44c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked FC Midtjylland | 44c | 57.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0c…4d9cbacked FC Midtjylland | 43c | 48.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed FC Midtjylland | 44c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Bohemian FC | 52c | 46.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Bohemian FC | 64c | 43.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…9bcfbacked Bohemian FC | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Bohemian FC | 64c | 38.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked FC Midtjylland | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked FC Midtjylland | 76c | 34.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Bohemian FC | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed FC Midtjylland | 46c | 33.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked FC Midtjylland | 45c | 30.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Midtjylland | 43c | 30.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked FC Midtjylland | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Bohemian FC | 50c | 28.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Bohemian FC | 56c | 27.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)this page
- Bohemian FC vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bohemian FC vs. FC Midtjylland: FC Midtjylland O/U 0.5Over won
- Bohemian FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bohemian FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bohemian FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bohemian FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)Bohemian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.