Europa Conference League · resolved market
Bohemian FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x815f3f3e40b32d49772eb51177d8e00cecb04b9b4b82526a49d18371b93482fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 4,208$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.72 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 30c | 3,609$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.14 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 41c | 1,400$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.99 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 217.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 42c | 210$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 70c | 209.55$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Over | 35c | 193.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 66c | 181.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 66c | 178.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 69c | 140.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 22c | 77.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 68c | 55.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 53c | 52.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 33c | 47.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 76c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 41c | 45.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 66c | 43.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 53c | 40.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 74c | 30.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 62c | 30.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 36c | 28.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 68c | 23.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 76c | 21.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed Under | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 58c | 18.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Under | 71c | 18.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 62c | 17.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bohemian FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5this page
- Bohemian FC vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bohemian FC vs. FC Midtjylland: FC Midtjylland O/U 0.5Over won
- Bohemian FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bohemian FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bohemian FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)FC Midtjylland won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)Bohemian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.