TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Top Esportsof EDward Gaming, Top Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$653,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$758,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $653,137 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed EDward Gaming44c58,583$25,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,616.8553750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4421…80d2backed EDward Gaming0c30,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201242.4%3 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-95.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed EDward Gaming22c29,502$6,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,409.6281143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Top Esports61c29,400$17,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,573.4625546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked EDward Gaming18c18,671$3,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,361.161,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe291…748ebacked Top Esports73c16,658$12,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,423.9810456.7%59 W · 45 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed EDward Gaming10c15,990$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.222,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Top Esports73c14,899$10,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,990.971,37937.7%520 W · 859 L-43.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Top Esports76c14,031$10,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,424.9567276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Top Esports78c10,527$8,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.9870162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed EDward Gaming26c10,155$2,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.6889347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed EDward Gaming21c9,709$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.8317348%83 W · 90 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Top Esports74c9,186$6,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,388.362,30339.4%907 W · 1,396 L-82.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed Top Esports78c8,943$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.9713947.5%66 W · 73 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed EDward Gaming35c8,333$2,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,918.7823445.7%107 W · 127 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed Top Esports72c8,268$5,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,313.451348%246 W · 267 L+25.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa759…1119backed Top Esports59c8,227$4,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,360.5311367.3%76 W · 37 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed EDward Gaming27c8,189$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.871,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed EDward Gaming7c7,520$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.431,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed EDward Gaming31c7,500$2,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,321.3222355.2%123 W · 100 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked EDward Gaming21c7,484$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.732555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ed…085abacked EDward Gaming21c7,260$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.610541.9%44 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed EDward Gaming27c7,000$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.9932234.5%111 W · 211 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69b1…2687backed EDward Gaming22c6,838$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.9530843.2%133 W · 175 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed EDward Gaming22c6,818$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9958259.5%346 W · 236 L+27.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32eb…ded0backed EDward Gaming25c6,505$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.331644.3%140 W · 176 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c01…e7d0backed EDward Gaming23c5,868$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.119345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed EDward Gaming37c5,757$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,109.851,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed EDward Gaming23c4,622$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.9462158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3df1…03e1backed Top Esports77c4,263$3,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.2611276.8%86 W · 26 L+16.7wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+15.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Top Esports75c4,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00057957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa849…2c98backed Top Esports78c3,447$2,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.183548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed EDward Gaming23c3,274$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.3940726.8%109 W · 298 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed EDward Gaming23c3,243$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.841,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed EDward Gaming1c3,050$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.556432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked EDward Gaming32c3,022$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.3329945.8%137 W · 162 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2627…fa13backed EDward Gaming20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011940.3%48 W · 71 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed EDward Gaming29c2,939$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.762,22237.4%832 W · 1,390 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8c…6452backed Top Esports73c2,794$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.37582.7%62 W · 13 L+18.1wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+34.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed EDward Gaming6c2,553$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.182,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Top Esports78c2,296$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.5130554.8%167 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked EDward Gaming22c2,279$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,66059.5%987 W · 673 L+97.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf64e…a1ddbacked Top Esports79c2,127$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.858453.6%45 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe69a…9e7dbacked Top Esports79c2,085$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.332138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…1e9dbacked Top Esports77c2,080$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.62369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+77.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d6…3e1ebacked EDward Gaming24c2,080$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.45020%10 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5a…c59ebacked EDward Gaming2c1,900$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4314418.8%27 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Top Esports63c1,747$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.71,04450.4%526 W · 518 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9d…4be6backed Top Esports69c1,658$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.955955.9%33 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Top Esports72c1,655$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.2522953.7%123 W · 106 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed EDward Gaming9c1,650$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked EDward Gaming23c1,598$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.541,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed EDward Gaming23c1,497$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.941,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed EDward Gaming21c1,497$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.7147533.3%158 W · 317 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff1d…3dfcbacked Top Esports56c1,416$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.152281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick68cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Top Esports79c1,321$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.460855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdccd…f41abacked EDward Gaming25c1,320$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.817839.3%70 W · 108 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc6f…6c5cbacked Top Esports77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.715443.5%67 W · 87 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed Top Esports78c1,286$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.9422640.7%92 W · 134 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb46…ed08backed EDward Gaming7c1,200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8432337.2%120 W · 203 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed EDward Gaming4c1,182$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.911,60517.5%281 W · 1,324 L-244.2wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Top Esports66c1,174$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.72,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc542…beffbacked Top Esports61c1,143$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.246563.1%41 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed Top Esports77c1,104$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0534137.8%129 W · 212 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked EDward Gaming1c1,084$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.184942.5%361 W · 488 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d87…e214backed Top Esports61c1,077$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.7726661.7%164 W · 102 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Top Esports73c1,027$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.414452.1%75 W · 69 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed EDward Gaming24c1,020$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.781,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked EDward Gaming22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed EDward Gaming42c1,000$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.1246257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed EDward Gaming22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Top Esports75c1,000$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.6797427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xede1…7dd1backed EDward Gaming21c999.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21042924.2%104 W · 325 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed EDward Gaming19c999.98$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,20335.7%430 W · 773 L+6.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6e6…25bebacked EDward Gaming30c968.81$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.373850%19 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Top Esports62c904.91$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.9315648.7%76 W · 80 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7e…ef88backed EDward Gaming7c883.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022229.3%65 W · 157 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71f5…1aecbacked EDward Gaming17c842.38$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.721828.4%62 W · 156 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28fd…00d0backed Top Esports58c838.72$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.3725259.1%149 W · 103 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5de…cabebacked EDward Gaming6c816.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019336.3%70 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a0c…6ca7backed Top Esports77c805$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.357054.3%38 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b52…f071backed Top Esports67c800$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26412649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked EDward Gaming21c800$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16867549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2c…83afbacked EDward Gaming2c800$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164202.6%11 W · 409 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-81.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked EDward Gaming4c799.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1467115.4%103 W · 568 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked EDward Gaming14c775.07$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.931,95230.6%597 W · 1,355 L-166.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5acf…ead4backed EDward Gaming28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016146%74 W · 87 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Top Esports75c710.58$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1864749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed EDward Gaming2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e9…caedbacked Top Esports75c666.73$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.739658.3%56 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked EDward Gaming32c662.15$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21115536.1%56 W · 99 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2b…1388backed Top Esports76c655.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2914546.2%67 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5419…43f9backed Top Esports77c650$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.51833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid+53.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed EDward Gaming23c616.26$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7443542.8%186 W · 249 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed EDward Gaming22c600$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13214936.9%55 W · 94 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dbd…c385backed Top Esports71c563.78$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7816662.7%104 W · 62 L-0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked EDward Gaming17c518.61$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1248844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf496…fe79backed EDward Gaming37c514.25$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5430546.9%143 W · 162 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9226…5a1cbacked Top Esports70c506.54$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.787279.2%57 W · 15 L+14.9wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+43%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Top Esports78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11066059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.