Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0d5bb5e4327b13d5776fee5c83b11efbafe81dcb496a02af858b68d4480fcdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8627…5382backed Under | 66c | 3,231$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.62 | 223 | 55.2%123 W · 100 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 34c | 1,037$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.26 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 445 | 38.2%170 W · 275 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 35c | 494.49$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.71 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 39c | 407.54$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.73 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 34c | 361.76$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 65c | 304.78$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Under | 67c | 298.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 34c | 255.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over | 34c | 240$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 33c | 217.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 67c | 193.28$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 35c | 180.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 62c | 130.49$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 52c | 114.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…2b03backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 32c | 83.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Over | 34c | 76.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 445 | 44.9%200 W · 245 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 32c | 70.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 34c | 61.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 272 | 57%155 W · 117 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 33c | 59.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 396 | 51%202 W · 194 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 63c | 54.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7e…e0b3backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 43c | 51.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 1,349 | 31.1%420 W · 929 L | -128.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 29c | 45.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 300 | 42.7%128 W · 172 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 40c | 45.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1,605 | 17.5%281 W · 1,324 L | -244.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 49c | 45.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Under | 57c | 44.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed Under | 67c | 40.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…fec7backed Over | 48c | 39.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 40c | 36.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1,133 | 31.1%352 W · 781 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Under | 68c | 32.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Under | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 59c | 18.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 208 | 67.3%140 W · 68 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?EDward Gaming won
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)Top Esports won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.