CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f03f0a0cf7eaf5881301ff44ddb3fcfe7d08d209218a631521cd9ef0ee06e08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BET-M 33of BET-M 33, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0d8…8eafbacked SPARTA | 60c | 4,594$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.02 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked BET-M 33 | 50c | 2,559$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.37 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed SPARTA | 50c | 2,450$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.25 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SPARTA | 29c | 2,362$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.93 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked BET-M 33 | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed BET-M 33 | 57c | 1,780$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.01 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed BET-M 33 | 56c | 1,407$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.13 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked BET-M 33 | 45c | 1,030$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.91 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked BET-M 33 | 60c | 1,017$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.05 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c6…7457backed SPARTA | 49c | 917.4$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.54 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed SPARTA | 63c | 835.89$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked BET-M 33 | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked BET-M 33 | 53c | 777.32$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.09 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SPARTA | 38c | 755.46$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.26 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked BET-M 33 | 40c | 754.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.73 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed SPARTA | 48c | 550$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked SPARTA | 41c | 518.61$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.66 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked BET-M 33 | 46c | 435.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.02 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BET-M 33 | 34c | 354.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.86 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked BET-M 33 | 67c | 337.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.69 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…6001backed SPARTA | 70c | 334.75$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed BET-M 33 | 44c | 242.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.27 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA | 55c | 236.58$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed BET-M 33 | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SPARTA | 42c | 211$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked SPARTA | 57c | 204.71$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.51 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BET-M 33 | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.81 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed SPARTA | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked BET-M 33 | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SPARTA | 50c | 194$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked SPARTA | 25c | 191.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked SPARTA | 54c | 184.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d7…efd3backed SPARTA | 55c | 181.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked BET-M 33 | 48c | 147.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed SPARTA | 45c | 143.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SPARTA | 38c | 124.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed SPARTA | 64c | 122.4$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed BET-M 33 | 48c | 115.75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed SPARTA | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked SPARTA | 71c | 108.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed BET-M 33 | 51c | 104.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…ea61backed BET-M 33 | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 130 | 63.1%82 W · 48 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed BET-M 33 | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked BET-M 33 | 53c | 97.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked BET-M 33 | 46c | 93.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…11a2backed SPARTA | 68c | 88.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked SPARTA | 28c | 78.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…bf43backed BET-M 33 | 70c | 77.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed SPARTA | 70c | 71.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked BET-M 33 | 60c | 69.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked SPARTA | 53c | 68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed BET-M 33 | 53c | 60.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed SPARTA | 48c | 56.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SPARTA | 35c | 55.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed SPARTA | 58c | 50.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked SPARTA | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 228 | 37.3%85 W · 143 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SPARTA | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed BET-M 33 | 49c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed BET-M 33 | 52c | 39.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed BET-M 33 | 61c | 38.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked BET-M 33 | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked BET-M 33 | 58c | 34.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0c…4d9cbacked BET-M 33 | 51c | 31.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…6c8bbacked BET-M 33 | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d4…ff90backed BET-M 33 | 48c | 28.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc1…a2babacked BET-M 33 | 49c | 28.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed SPARTA | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed BET-M 33 | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed SPARTA | 71c | 20.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked BET-M 33 | 54c | 19.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked BET-M 33 | 63c | 18.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 PlayoffsBET-M 33 won
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs BET-M 33 (+1.5)BET-M 33 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.