CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Giant Pandas vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe52fe429f95a8512e49c967b5f29ee85b180123c59f5daae9aa5525532b3ba8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Betclic Apogee Esportsof Giant Pandas, Betclic Apogee Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa21e…da4dbacked Giant Pandas | 25c | 13,856$3,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 76c | 10,864$8,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.8 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 73c | 4,373$3,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.73 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Giant Pandas | 28c | 2,350$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.38 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Giant Pandas | 8c | 1,350$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Giant Pandas | 14c | 1,261$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.7 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Giant Pandas | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9036backed Giant Pandas | 7c | 1,228$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Giant Pandas | 15c | 1,063$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.2 | 633 | 41.9%265 W · 368 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Giant Pandas | 14c | 1,056$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 337 | 40.9%138 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Giant Pandas | 11c | 994.91$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 480 | 40%192 W · 288 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Giant Pandas | 12c | 938$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Giant Pandas | 13c | 865.24$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.34 | 333 | 27.9%93 W · 240 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 79c | 848.54$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Giant Pandas | 11c | 746.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Giant Pandas | 3c | 742.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Giant Pandas | 29c | 671$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.29 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 73c | 447.36$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 543 | 39.4%214 W · 329 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 76c | 424.09$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Giant Pandas | 14c | 311.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Giant Pandas | 15c | 309$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Giant Pandas | 15c | 299.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 982 | 48.3%474 W · 508 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 76c | 278$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Giant Pandas | 6c | 275$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Giant Pandas | 11c | 267$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Giant Pandas | 24c | 265.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…1a3abacked Giant Pandas | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 12%10 W · 73 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Giant Pandas | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 300 | 49.3%148 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Giant Pandas | 12c | 246$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed Giant Pandas | 7c | 209.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…c735backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Giant Pandas | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Giant Pandas | 6c | 180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 163 | 11.7%19 W · 144 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…aef7backed Giant Pandas | 14c | 174.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 74c | 174.61$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Giant Pandas | 22c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Giant Pandas | 21c | 148$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Giant Pandas | 7c | 143.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 76c | 139.2$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed Giant Pandas | 10c | 128.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Giant Pandas | 9c | 125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Giant Pandas | 34c | 123$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Giant Pandas | 33c | 122.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94c…3cd9backed Giant Pandas | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Giant Pandas | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 358 | 57.8%207 W · 151 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Giant Pandas | 28c | 79.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 74c | 72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Giant Pandas | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Giant Pandas | 21c | 62.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Giant Pandas | 24c | 60.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…755fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 76c | 58.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 79c | 55.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0c…4d9cbacked Giant Pandas | 36c | 55.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…0e3dbacked Giant Pandas | 27c | 53.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Giant Pandas | 31c | 52.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…fcc2backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 77c | 52.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Giant Pandas | 24c | 47.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 845 | 54.4%460 W · 385 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Giant Pandas | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 651 | 49%319 W · 332 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c9…1ef1backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed Giant Pandas | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…d21fbacked Giant Pandas | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Giant Pandas | 31c | 38.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 260 | 46.5%121 W · 139 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Giant Pandas | 30c | 33.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 69c | 28.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 72c | 21.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…47eabacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad5a…e224backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 70c | 15.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…e04fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 73c | 13.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.