TailMyPicks
Market

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paper Rexof Team Secret, Paper Rex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,944
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,944 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18a4…3a31backed Team Secret8c1,487$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5515347.1%72 W · 81 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Team Secret9c1,250$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7732445.4%147 W · 177 L+51.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+39.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked Team Secret9c1,140$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.049737.1%36 W · 61 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b1…df57backed Team Secret9c1,042$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986124.6%15 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6289…7175backed Team Secret9c1,019$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Team Secret7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708842%37 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b75…fa0ebacked Team Secret9c974.5$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.71668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Team Secret8c871.05$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.096150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Secret9c807.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7286747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e6d…6f31backed Team Secret9c512.96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.176544.6%29 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Team Secret8c500.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0125453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Team Secret11c444.19$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9749455.3%273 W · 221 L+23.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Team Secret12c419.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-46%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Secret7c367.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6842035%147 W · 273 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Secret8c357.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.91,28132.1%411 W · 870 L-67.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe08b…614fbacked Team Secret11c328.55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.811136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Team Secret10c299$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1528742.9%123 W · 164 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Team Secret8c290.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.616336.5%23 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Team Secret9c252.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7127145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Team Secret9c213.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2513661%83 W · 53 L+14.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Team Secret7c205.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3920160.2%121 W · 80 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Team Secret9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1816142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Secret9c178.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1854542.2%230 W · 315 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Team Secret7c163.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4319546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Secret10c154.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.575142.7%321 W · 430 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b0c…4d9cbacked Team Secret10c128$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.82740.7%11 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Secret9c111.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.071,61245.1%727 W · 885 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.