Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39438a94b7d993aaa9061a384a479f82c576e010b4e397872a5338ab77064cb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Paper Rex, Team Secret
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Secret | 26c | 1,216$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.12 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Paper Rex | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Team Secret | 29c | 639.05$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.71 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Team Secret | 29c | 499$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.71 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Secret | 58c | 391.93$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.32 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Paper Rex | 74c | 360$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Secret | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…fea7backed Paper Rex | 67c | 234.67$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -37%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…60cfbacked Paper Rex | 69c | 203.37$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Paper Rex | 76c | 140$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Secret | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked Paper Rex | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…e430backed Paper Rex | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Secret | 58c | 87.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Team Secret | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7070…821cbacked Paper Rex | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Paper Rex | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Paper Rex | 73c | 15.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Team Secret (+4.5)Team Secret won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-5.5) vs Team Secret (+5.5)Team Secret won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.