Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x307293b6b3fecd53085233a0489c036f1482b76a5a4399468d49c4e4cd752ba2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Team Secret, Paper Rex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Secret | 13c | 2,098$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.05 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x451e…b13fbacked Team Secret | 9c | 1,526$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Secret | 6c | 1,053$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed Team Secret | 15c | 868$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ed…b819backed Team Secret | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Paper Rex | 52c | 499.76$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex | 78c | 394.49$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Team Secret | 36c | 311.73$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Team Secret | 15c | 300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Secret | 26c | 292.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Secret | 11c | 237.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Secret | 10c | 237$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Team Secret | 20c | 205.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Team Secret | 16c | 197.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Team Secret | 15c | 180$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Team Secret | 15c | 177.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked Team Secret | 10c | 157$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Team Secret | 19c | 153.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Team Secret | 17c | 145.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Team Secret | 18c | 130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Paper Rex | 75c | 128$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Secret | 16c | 113.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Team Secret | 12c | 97.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked Team Secret | 15c | 94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Paper Rex | 76c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb411…1546backed Team Secret | 34c | 45.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Paper Rex | 72c | 27.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Team Secret (+4.5)Team Secret won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-5.5) vs Team Secret (+5.5)Team Secret won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.