TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
FC Nordsjællandof FC Nordsjælland, KF Valur
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,237
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,237 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4956…e2c7backed KF Valur40c11,909$4,811 inLost-$4,811.333844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed FC Nordsjælland58c2,494$1,451 inWon+$1,043.091,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed FC Nordsjælland59c1,594$940 inWon+$653.347565.3%49 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+33.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked FC Nordsjælland60c1,462$877 inWon+$584.888048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Nordsjælland60c1,462$877 inWon+$584.81,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked FC Nordsjælland59c1,000$590 inWon+$41096947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked FC Nordsjælland62c784.5$483 inWon+$301.41,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed FC Nordsjælland59c718.44$426 inWon+$292.4881440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed FC Nordsjælland60c500$300 inWon+$2007245.8%33 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed FC Nordsjælland53c499.97$265 inWon+$234.995358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed FC Nordsjælland60c487$292 inWon+$194.81,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed KF Valur48c433$208 inLost-$207.8431842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed KF Valur47c377.12$176 inLost-$176.493,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed FC Nordsjælland59c333.98$198 inWon+$136.482,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked KF Valur9c333$30 inLost-$29.9735944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked FC Nordsjælland60c295.41$177 inWon+$118.1377855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed FC Nordsjælland59c231.68$137 inWon+$94.731,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked FC Nordsjælland60c205.37$124 inWon+$81.5438952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed FC Nordsjælland65c153.85$100 inWon+$53.852576%19 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+31.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed FC Nordsjælland59c139$82 inWon+$56.9938144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed FC Nordsjælland59c114.12$67 inWon+$46.7974155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked KF Valur47c88.17$41 inLost-$41.4436356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe217…9626backed FC Nordsjælland59c67.8$40 inWon+$27.83644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b0c…4d9cbacked KF Valur55c37.32$21 inLost-$20.531631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked FC Nordsjælland46c26$12 inWon+$14.045839.7%23 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed KF Valur49c21.57$11 inLost-$10.5731856%178 W · 140 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed KF Valur54c20$11 inLost-$10.85952.5%31 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed FC Nordsjælland59c19.31$11 inWon+$7.9218940.2%76 W · 113 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked FC Nordsjælland55c18.66$10 inWon+$8.44953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.