Europa Conference League · resolved market
KF Valur vs. FC Nordsjælland: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd168a753a63c397b871409c456da40481377e21db86b08e80a41fbc5049a818d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 59c | 3,406$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 30c | 3,113$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.35 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 74c | 1,015$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.26 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 45c | 999.9$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.95 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 41c | 731.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.7 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 41c | 609.75$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.75 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 599.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 476$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.75 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 49c | 421$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.29 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 384.4$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.88 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 356.16$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.1 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 43c | 347$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.33 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 297.17$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.53 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 261.01$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 252.14$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.59 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 238.43$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 51c | 203.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes | 51c | 202.24$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 51c | 166.04$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 75c | 134$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 42c | 64.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 41c | 49.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 33.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 41c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 387 | 44.4%172 W · 215 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 50c | 24.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 70c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Yes | 51c | 20.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KF Valur vs. FC Nordsjælland: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- KF Valur vs. FC Nordsjælland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Valur vs. FC Nordsjælland: FC Nordsjælland O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Valur vs. FC Nordsjælland: KF Valur O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Valur vs. FC Nordsjælland: KF Valur O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Valur vs. FC Nordsjælland: KF Valur O/U 2.5Under won
- KF Valur vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Valur vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Valur vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 2.5Under won
- KF Valur vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 3.5Under won
- KF Valur vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)FC Nordsjælland won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-2.5)KF Valur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.