Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f9278cc72d095a2e278ef004beafbc46c9240397f77cd08203f27e386e7c1c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, BBL Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed FUT Esports | 49c | 16,349$8,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,319.85 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked BBL Esports | 51c | 14,750$7,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,522.5 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BBL Esports | 38c | 8,888$3,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.73 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed FUT Esports | 46c | 2,774$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.01 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed BBL Esports | 20c | 2,493$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.67 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed BBL Esports | 49c | 1,986$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.17 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports | 57c | 1,785$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.01 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed FUT Esports | 47c | 1,310$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.2 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed FUT Esports | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.5 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed BBL Esports | 50c | 1,111$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked FUT Esports | 47c | 1,077$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.81 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked BBL Esports | 53c | 1,045$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.89 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed FUT Esports | 45c | 1,006$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.45 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FUT Esports | 49c | 983.4$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.1 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FUT Esports | 53c | 959$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.73 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed BBL Esports | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed BBL Esports | 13c | 696.42$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked FUT Esports | 47c | 681.18$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.31 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 649.6$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.8 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BBL Esports | 49c | 585$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.21 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BBL Esports | 52c | 552$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.98 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BBL Esports | 38c | 447.72$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.9 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked FUT Esports | 79c | 382.24$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.77 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FUT Esports | 47c | 336.94$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.58 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6505…1feebacked BBL Esports | 40c | 300.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed FUT Esports | 50c | 300.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.9 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed FUT Esports | 47c | 257.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.74 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed BBL Esports | 30c | 256.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed BBL Esports | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed FUT Esports | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed FUT Esports | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed FUT Esports | 58c | 249.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed BBL Esports | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BBL Esports | 52c | 203.61$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.88 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed BBL Esports | 42c | 200.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked BBL Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed BBL Esports | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…df54backed BBL Esports | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4806backed BBL Esports | 55c | 177.78$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FUT Esports | 68c | 169.85$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FUT Esports | 71c | 169.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed FUT Esports | 46c | 160.19$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked FUT Esports | 49c | 157.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked BBL Esports | 19c | 152.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed BBL Esports | 50c | 117.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked FUT Esports | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked BBL Esports | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6277backed BBL Esports | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked BBL Esports | 17c | 97.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed BBL Esports | 50c | 91.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed FUT Esports | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed FUT Esports | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed FUT Esports | 67c | 81.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked BBL Esports | 49c | 78.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FUT Esports | 56c | 78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed FUT Esports | 53c | 78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked FUT Esports | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x240e…eb16backed BBL Esports | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed FUT Esports | 57c | 60.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…ceb9backed BBL Esports | 50c | 58.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…6573backed BBL Esports | 50c | 58.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed BBL Esports | 50c | 56.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FUT Esports | 51c | 55.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed BBL Esports | 55c | 53.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FUT Esports | 72c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…7634backed FUT Esports | 60c | 50.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…b83cbacked BBL Esports | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed BBL Esports | 29c | 44.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed BBL Esports | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed BBL Esports | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FUT Esports | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked BBL Esports | 53c | 30.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FUT Esports | 56c | 28.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed FUT Esports | 47c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…9edfbacked FUT Esports | 48c | 25.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FUT Esports | 60c | 25.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…6b32backed FUT Esports | 48c | 23.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed BBL Esports | 53c | 20.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)FUT Esports won
- Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaFUT Esports won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 1 WinnerBBL Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.