Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4396c88fef01715c5f7340a7b1fada3c2aa25215ba62f0ecb0bd32d0478b5b6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof FULL SENSE, Nongshim RedForce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 932.77$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.03 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked FULL SENSE | 44c | 558.9$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.92 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nongshim RedForce | 58c | 520$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FULL SENSE | 33c | 487.17$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.64 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 436.31$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.34 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed FULL SENSE | 42c | 333.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.93 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Nongshim RedForce | 72c | 294.39$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.62 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…3543backed FULL SENSE | 40c | 251.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…da03backed FULL SENSE | 48c | 208.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FULL SENSE | 36c | 205.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed FULL SENSE | 38c | 160.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 156.01$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed FULL SENSE | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 17.6%18 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Nongshim RedForce | 60c | 149.32$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed FULL SENSE | 39c | 127.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed FULL SENSE | 33c | 111$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FULL SENSE | 45c | 85.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FULL SENSE | 37c | 85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FULL SENSE | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…13a5backed Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nongshim RedForce | 61c | 69.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…7f55backed FULL SENSE | 44c | 68.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed Nongshim RedForce | 47c | 62.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2004…cb6fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 70c | 57.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed FULL SENSE | 46c | 54.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed FULL SENSE | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked FULL SENSE | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 45.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked FULL SENSE | 37c | 44.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 40.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Nongshim RedForce | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked FULL SENSE | 37c | 34.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…ab9ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Nongshim RedForce | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked FULL SENSE | 60c | 17.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs FULL SENSE (+2.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs FULL SENSE (+2.5)FULL SENSE won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs FULL SENSE (+1.5)FULL SENSE won
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaFULL SENSE won
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 WinnerFULL SENSE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.