Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd57c96b63e762f62f75e2429a9f4872a24eaa5c1724959aedfad6143901c9afe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 17c | 1,117$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.27 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 75c | 1,006$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.91 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 21c | 988.62$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.19 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…5668backed Yes | 25c | 803.86$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.9 | 96 | 17.7%17 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 28c | 715$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked No | 78c | 565.49$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.79 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 43c | 459.8$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.61 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 77c | 408.82$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.42 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 13c | 356.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 9c | 324.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 61c | 318.6$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.65 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 75c | 304.45$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.08 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.87 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 9c | 280.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 72c | 252$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.44 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 244.43$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.67 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 22c | 228.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.46 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…262dbacked No | 7c | 225.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | +21.0wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 63c | 219$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.11 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 20c | 202$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.6 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 40c | 192.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 79c | 175.81$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 21c | 168.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.79 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 65c | 167.23$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.88 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 32c | 161.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 24c | 159.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 53c | 151.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.44 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 72c | 143$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 73c | 131.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.43 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…c5cebacked No | 15c | 126.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked Yes | 26c | 112.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 65c | 109.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 102$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 182 | 40.1%73 W · 109 L | -16.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…6b73backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…e7edbacked Yes | 22c | 95.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 547 | 35.5%194 W · 353 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 12c | 94.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked No | 74c | 90.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 79c | 87.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 72c | 83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ac…fce6backed Yes | 50c | 80.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 21c | 79.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 17c | 78.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked No | 77c | 73.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed Yes | 23c | 72.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 69c | 65.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 34c | 62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 28c | 59.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 24c | 58.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…a330backed Yes | 22c | 53.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 57c | 52.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 80c | 51.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…6483backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa29c…572abacked Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 73c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed Yes | 71c | 44.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 80c | 42.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 76c | 41.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Yes | 33c | 39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…bb39backed No | 80c | 36.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 79c | 34.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…e3e8backed No | 79c | 33.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 88 | 71.6%63 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 79c | 30.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…4c1ebacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 496 | 75.4%374 W · 122 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6458…f826backed No | 79c | 27.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 73c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…9a58backed Yes | 79c | 25.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c1…b127backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -21.0wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…5f17backed Yes | 55c | 23.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6648…f69abacked No | 80c | 15.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 78cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 79c | 12.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…3b38backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 124 | 73.4%91 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.