Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92f3d1726c62e8afcd54c09d536e615f9aab99af1382ccb30f9d85ef6d008539
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 1c | 2,777$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 4c | 2,464$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 31c | 1,209$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 31c | 767.07$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.63 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 22c | 588.41$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 23c | 553.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 67c | 421.23$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.93 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 13c | 417.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 15c | 332.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed No | 70c | 233.51$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 21c | 218.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked No | 66c | 208.39$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 36c | 181.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 177.23$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 71c | 176.58$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7e…3660backed Yes | 29c | 175.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 65c | 170$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed No | 79c | 165.24$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 66c | 158.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 71c | 153.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 34c | 152.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 36c | 151.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…c8ffbacked No | 71c | 141.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 324 | 40.1%130 W · 194 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 136.54$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 64c | 130.4$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…7a54backed Yes | 39c | 130$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf865…d810backed Yes | 17c | 118.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 33c | 110.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 68c | 108.81$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 61c | 105.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 66c | 102.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…bb31backed No | 60c | 100.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 162 | 72.2%117 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 371 | 50.4%187 W · 184 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed No | 74c | 92.37$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 20c | 90.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed No | 66c | 88.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 19c | 86.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e9…4a3cbacked Yes | 24c | 78.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 69c | 76.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b3…14f8backed No | 66c | 75.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 124 | 66.1%82 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 67c | 66.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…e8b9backed Yes | 38c | 65.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 66c | 60.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…9b7fbacked No | 63c | 52.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked Yes | 27c | 48.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 68c | 43.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 39c | 43.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 65c | 41.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 73c | 39.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 64c | 38.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed Yes | 27c | 37.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 32c | 35.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 30.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 75c | 30.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 74c | 30.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e0…1c4fbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked No | 77c | 29.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 69c | 28.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…372abacked No | 76c | 26.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 67c | 24.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 74c | 23.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 68c | 21.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 64c | 21.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 65c | 20.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…04bebacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 67c | 17.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 63c | 16.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3e…3865backed No | 76c | 15.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…ca22backed No | 69c | 14.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cd…4b4dbacked No | 78c | 14.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 69cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabcc…8ac7backed No | 78c | 12.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.