CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffc41302a5f03fde7d5e2878f2a90ff934bfe4e722ad19d70f7297d3f6632f40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof Team Nemesis, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TDK | 38c | 11,771$4,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,302.7 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 10,076$6,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,214.27 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 2,100$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.09 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed Team Nemesis | 78c | 1,454$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.27 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfa…7491backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 839.05$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.64 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked TDK | 36c | 618.26$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.62 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TDK | 37c | 573.2$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.12 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 42c | 458.08$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.21 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed TDK | 20c | 410.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.4 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed TDK | 26c | 382.74$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.35 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 357.16$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed TDK | 43c | 276.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Team Nemesis | 76c | 263.1$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.17 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked TDK | 20c | 252.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.64 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…74adbacked TDK | 49c | 206$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…0118backed TDK | 54c | 202.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5667…8ca3backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 171.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 156.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 146.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 129.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked TDK | 80c | 129.04$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed TDK | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked TDK | 49c | 111.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 60.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed TDK | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked TDK | 64c | 34.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Team Nemesis | 33c | 30.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed TDK | 67c | 18.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK (BO5) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals PlayoffsTDK won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK - Map 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK - Map 3 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.