CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dd8038fd37ef45f0d4f567808a123309f945a496c8d1cd9d51bd3a14dfee9b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 4,460$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.65 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 2,649$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.46 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TDK | 29c | 2,434$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.26 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 64c | 1,711$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.87 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed TDK | 38c | 1,425$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.36 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TDK | 33c | 1,190$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.16 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 1,091$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.51 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Team Nemesis | 67c | 900$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 899.99$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed TDK | 37c | 847.68$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.98 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed TDK | 46c | 813.17$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.06 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TDK | 50c | 707.69$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.77 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 664.78$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.85 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…a1e4backed TDK | 56c | 484.1$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed TDK | 37c | 474.06$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 409$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.51 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 400.24$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.19 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked TDK | 39c | 373.39$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.15 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TDK | 37c | 370.92$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.94 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TDK | 50c | 347.28$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.64 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed TDK | 39c | 292.45$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.31 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed TDK | 39c | 255.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked TDK | 30c | 250.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed TDK | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed TDK | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked TDK | 40c | 220$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked TDK | 44c | 213.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed TDK | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TDK | 27c | 196$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 165.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed TDK | 12c | 153.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed TDK | 12c | 119.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed TDK | 32c | 118.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed TDK | 21c | 113$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 107.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked TDK | 25c | 103.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked TDK | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked TDK | 31c | 79.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed TDK | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed TDK | 34c | 72.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 22.9%19 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 67.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 60.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TDK | 56c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed TDK | 27c | 47.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Team Nemesis | 73c | 44.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed TDK | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Nemesis | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed TDK | 57c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed TDK | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed TDK | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked TDK | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK (BO5) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals PlayoffsTDK won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK - Map 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK - Map 4 WinnerTDK won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.