Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2426e898c1b7bb234cccd24546658abc922b019651bc8bc41cb5c378242bb000

Rebuilt 56 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Fnatic
Resolved: Jul 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $41,175
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $45,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,175 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xffe9…a70ebacked Team Liquid	44c	4,206$1,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,355.17	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid	76c	3,902$2,973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$929.09	409	45.7%187 W · 222 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fnatic	51c	3,038$1,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,552	689	49.5%341 W · 348 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Fnatic	11c	2,874$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325	255	36.9%94 W · 161 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fnatic	50c	2,800$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400.09	1,422	51.3%729 W · 693 L	+49.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Liquid	47c	2,500$1,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,325	1,281	32.1%411 W · 870 L	-67.2wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid	47c	2,159$1,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,137.9	655	59.4%389 W · 266 L	+50.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid	50c	1,776$882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$894.42	684	58.3%399 W · 285 L	+56.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Fnatic	3c	1,598$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.48	604	23%139 W · 465 L	-25.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Fnatic	55c	1,416$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781	210	55.2%116 W · 94 L	+10.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fnatic	55c	1,399$763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$762.66	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Team Liquid	43c	1,276$547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.96	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Fnatic	53c	1,227$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.75	565	51.2%289 W · 276 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Fnatic	57c	1,066$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.56	467	46.7%218 W · 249 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed Fnatic	56c	804.98$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.29	181	49.7%90 W · 91 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid	44c	740.79$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.47	565	57.7%326 W · 239 L	+35.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Fnatic	55c	709.98$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.99	214	57%122 W · 92 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Team Liquid	45c	669$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.95	108	42.6%46 W · 62 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid	51c	660.14$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.95	531	59.1%314 W · 217 L	+41.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Fnatic	56c	639.17$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.94	321	52.6%169 W · 152 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Fnatic	48c	625$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	178	53.9%96 W · 82 L	+8.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Fnatic	55c	575.94$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.77	53	64.2%34 W · 19 L	+7.5wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Fnatic	57c	558$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.06	639	55.6%355 W · 284 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Fnatic	57c	505.04$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.87	936	49.3%461 W · 475 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Fnatic	32c	485$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.2	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	0%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca78…b3a8backed Team Liquid	54c	461.95$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.95	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+3.1wins	+0.28per pick	45cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid	43c	374$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.4	932	48.1%448 W · 484 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Fnatic	51c	349.17$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.49	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked Fnatic	48c	312.5$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed Team Liquid	44c	295.45$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.45	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Fnatic	56c	232.75$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.34	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x616b…f926backed Fnatic	49c	232.04$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.6	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Fnatic	57c	228.08$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.05	1,253	49.5%620 W · 633 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Fnatic	52c	203.35$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.76	1,612	45.1%727 W · 885 L	-25.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Fnatic	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Fnatic	58c	198.25$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.02	1,495	46.6%696 W · 799 L	-17.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Fnatic	56c	198.21$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	214	54.2%116 W · 98 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Fnatic	56c	196.43$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	364	46.2%168 W · 196 L	+24.4wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Team Liquid	57c	174.56$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.46	653	47.3%309 W · 344 L	-18.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ee6…07cabacked Fnatic	60c	173.79$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.93	151	60.3%91 W · 60 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+10%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Fnatic	50c	161.25$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.36	1,312	43.8%575 W · 737 L	-44.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Fnatic	9c	124.08$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.14	194	39.2%76 W · 118 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked Fnatic	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	199	51.8%103 W · 96 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21fc…de4abacked Fnatic	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.17per pick	35cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Fnatic	61c	98$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.26	999	45.9%459 W · 540 L	-27.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Fnatic	50c	93.24$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.62	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid	50c	84.53$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.85	534	55.2%295 W · 239 L	+23.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ff…45f5backed Fnatic	56c	81.54$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a12…a9a7backed Team Liquid	34c	78$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.48	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+45%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed Fnatic	44c	67.97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	205	47.8%98 W · 107 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Fnatic	58c	65$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.75	251	41.4%104 W · 147 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Team Liquid	47c	63.65$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.89	375	45.6%171 W · 204 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6844…d538backed Fnatic	59c	60.76$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.55	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Fnatic	55c	57.35$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.54	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	58cpaid	-29%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Fnatic	50c	57$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Team Liquid	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	913	33.2%303 W · 610 L	-89.8wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Fnatic	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.08	556	37.6%209 W · 347 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Team Liquid	43c	46.51$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.51	519	48.4%251 W · 268 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Fnatic	50c	44.8$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1bf…b83cbacked Fnatic	56c	44.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Fnatic	40c	39$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	751	42.7%321 W · 430 L	-27.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e99…2229backed Team Liquid	47c	38.06$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.06	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed Fnatic	56c	37$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.72	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-8.4wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3c2b…af40backed Fnatic	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Team Liquid	38c	35$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.82	201	38.3%77 W · 124 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Fnatic	52c	34$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.81	785	62.8%493 W · 292 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfeb3…225ebacked Fnatic	63c	31.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92df…7a08backed Team Liquid	44c	27.27$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.27	101	51.5%52 W · 49 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fnatic	45c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.28	575	50.6%291 W · 284 L	+14.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Team Liquid	44c	25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	282	41.1%116 W · 166 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Team Liquid	51c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	705	43.5%307 W · 398 L	-14.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Liquid	52c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	783	44.1%345 W · 438 L	-21.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Fnatic	56c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	672	50.6%340 W · 332 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)Team Liquid won
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaTeam Liquid won
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic - Map 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event