Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fb19ae69acc3a1fa6954e229d495b1bf94441e321a1c04bdcc0ce28c41878a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Fnatic, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Liquid | 69c | 1,983$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.37 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Fnatic | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…381abacked Fnatic | 33c | 760.61$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Liquid | 72c | 710$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Fnatic | 28c | 512$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.36 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Fnatic | 30c | 210$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Fnatic | 29c | 183.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Liquid | 69c | 170.62$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fnatic | 33c | 159$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 144.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Fnatic | 30c | 139.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 125$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Fnatic | 28c | 108$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Liquid | 71c | 103$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked Team Liquid | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Fnatic | 33c | 94.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Fnatic | 31c | 93.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Fnatic | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed Fnatic | 31c | 71.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Fnatic | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed Fnatic | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 47.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Team Liquid | 70c | 47.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 47.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed Team Liquid | 70c | 44.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Team Liquid | 69c | 32.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)Team Liquid won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic - Map 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic - Map 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.