Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9da287f3764f482c9a5dd60d2cdc5ca3937806e1142387a360116403fba50e02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 13,190$7,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,319.82 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fnatic | 38c | 7,294$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.72 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Fnatic | 34c | 6,437$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.32 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fnatic | 40c | 3,662$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.75 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 1,877$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.08 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Team Liquid | 46c | 1,334$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.56 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 70c | 1,099$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.29 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Fnatic | 2c | 971.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Fnatic | 39c | 820.03$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 700$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Fnatic | 2c | 670.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 102 | 17.6%18 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Liquid | 50c | 650$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.1 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Fnatic | 49c | 600$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Liquid | 76c | 600$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed Fnatic | 23c | 553.08$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.56 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Fnatic | 22c | 522.55$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.51 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked Fnatic | 49c | 467.17$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Fnatic | 57c | 444.88$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.58 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 444.54$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fnatic | 19c | 413.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Fnatic | 56c | 360.36$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.8 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Fnatic | 25c | 357.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…f926backed Fnatic | 57c | 345.05$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Fnatic | 54c | 328.3$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.28 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Fnatic | 39c | 324.77$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.56 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Fnatic | 55c | 321.26$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.69 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 298.01$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed Fnatic | 10c | 281.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Liquid | 70c | 281.11$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…917bbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 261.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Liquid | 44c | 238.93$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.8 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fnatic | 17c | 190.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 161$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked Fnatic | 8c | 160$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 93 | 14%13 W · 80 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 159.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fnatic | 20c | 121.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Team Liquid | 54c | 120.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Fnatic | 52c | 114.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Fnatic | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 44c | 112$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fnatic | 20c | 111$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Fnatic | 49c | 101.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Team Liquid | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Fnatic | 55c | 91.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Team Liquid | 77c | 87.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Team Liquid | 68c | 87.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Fnatic | 56c | 84.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Liquid | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 70.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…df54backed Fnatic | 54c | 64.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Fnatic | 49c | 61.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fnatic | 37c | 55.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Team Liquid | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fnatic | 27c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Team Liquid | 45c | 46.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Team Liquid | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Liquid | 78c | 42.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Team Liquid | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Fnatic | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87dd…a331backed Team Liquid | 66c | 38.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Fnatic | 40c | 37.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 36.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Team Liquid | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked Fnatic | 57c | 34.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Team Liquid | 60c | 33.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…7a08backed Team Liquid | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 77c | 31.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Fnatic | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Team Liquid | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Team Liquid | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)Team Liquid won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic - Map 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.