MLB · resolved market

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa017e92b6db818247e679283ae2070ebf8c3600aa6e7648fad4f23bb6a2715d4

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Tampa Bay Rays
Resolved: Aug 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $194,110
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $200,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,110 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays	45c	64,319$28,943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,375.38	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	32,986$16,654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,654.2	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays	45c	25,000$11,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,749.93	770	53.9%415 W · 355 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Tampa Bay Rays	55c	22,300$12,265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,265	274	52.6%144 W · 130 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Tampa Bay Rays	55c	21,383$11,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,760.4	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays	76c	6,696$5,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,618.99	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Tampa Bay Rays	56c	5,357$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	233	57.9%135 W · 98 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays	16c	4,530$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$713.77	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	47c	4,290$2,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,003.06	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Toronto Blue Jays	44c	4,000$1,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,240	981	49.8%489 W · 492 L	-12.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	3,328$1,464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,863.46	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffb3…081ebacked Toronto Blue Jays	72c	3,126$2,263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$863.06	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	67cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Tampa Bay Rays	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650	489	52.8%258 W · 231 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Tampa Bay Rays	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650	452	52.4%237 W · 215 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Toronto Blue Jays	45c	2,934$1,307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,627.46	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Tampa Bay Rays	28c	2,419$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.47	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Tampa Bay Rays	8c	2,401$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.71	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Tampa Bay Rays	39c	2,365$922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$921.53	481	47%226 W · 255 L	-31.8wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…2dafbacked Tampa Bay Rays	16c	2,217$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.71	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays	24c	2,138$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.55	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays	21c	2,075$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.62	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	2,000$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,120	619	47.7%295 W · 324 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda66…3f38backed Tampa Bay Rays	56c	1,790$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.4	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Tampa Bay Rays	56c	1,503$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837.22	920	46%423 W · 497 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e68…3772backed Tampa Bay Rays	11c	1,500$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.44	249	47%117 W · 132 L	+15.0wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	1,500$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839.94	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Toronto Blue Jays	56c	1,415$785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$629.61	794	42.4%337 W · 457 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Tampa Bay Rays	31c	1,123$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	111	29.7%33 W · 78 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Toronto Blue Jays	45c	1,100$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605	195	34.4%67 W · 128 L	-9.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	56c	999.99$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.99	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dfe…b081backed Tampa Bay Rays	13c	999.98$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Tampa Bay Rays	55c	955$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.25	1,521	48.6%739 W · 782 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Tampa Bay Rays	43c	947.4$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.18	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed Tampa Bay Rays	56c	892.86$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	221	49.3%109 W · 112 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays	80c	798.61$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.72	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfec…774abacked Tampa Bay Rays	43c	736.34$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Toronto Blue Jays	76c	656.34$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.4	473	58.4%276 W · 197 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Tampa Bay Rays	55c	651.23$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.18	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc306…accdbacked Toronto Blue Jays	44c	591.36$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.08	54	74.1%40 W · 14 L	+9.7wins	+0.18per pick	56cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	475	45.9%218 W · 257 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	524.34$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.63	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays	56c	513.99$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.83	556	53.4%297 W · 259 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Tampa Bay Rays	55c	499.99$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.99	224	48.7%109 W · 115 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Toronto Blue Jays	77c	498.02$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.31	851	48.5%413 W · 438 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd304…3ed2backed Toronto Blue Jays	45c	450$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.5	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays	30c	426.48$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.02	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays	25c	403.71$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.21	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c16…e71abacked Toronto Blue Jays	38c	403.17$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.44	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	5c	385.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	121	28.9%35 W · 86 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Tampa Bay Rays	27c	380$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.68	464	44.4%206 W · 258 L	-18.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Tampa Bay Rays	55c	369.24$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.08	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Tampa Bay Rays	55c	359.99$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.43	952	52.9%504 W · 448 L	+17.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Tampa Bay Rays	31c	359.43$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.41	799	55.9%447 W · 352 L	+21.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e55…a332backed Tampa Bay Rays	56c	357.5$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.2	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Toronto Blue Jays	45c	344.14$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.28	589	43.1%254 W · 335 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays	45c	335.05$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.97	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Toronto Blue Jays	45c	333.33$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.33	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-6.3wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5c5b…54f5backed Tampa Bay Rays	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Tampa Bay Rays	27c	315$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.2	1,796	43.8%786 W · 1,010 L	-33.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed Tampa Bay Rays	56c	310$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.6	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dae…72febacked Tampa Bay Rays	56c	307.02$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.93	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Tampa Bay Rays	55c	300$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	586	52.7%309 W · 277 L	+14.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b3…33efbacked Toronto Blue Jays	44c	300$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168	78	60.3%47 W · 31 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	295.59$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.53	562	53.2%299 W · 263 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Tampa Bay Rays	69c	289$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.41	356	68.8%245 W · 111 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Toronto Blue Jays	71c	286.73$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.5	1,205	58.8%708 W · 497 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Tampa Bay Rays	22c	280.38$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.68	254	47.6%121 W · 133 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74dd…df82backed Tampa Bay Rays	14c	272$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.08	120	35%42 W · 78 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2561…ce3ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	37c	270.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	252	49.6%125 W · 127 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays	45c	260$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Toronto Blue Jays	45c	223$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.65	917	49.9%458 W · 459 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Toronto Blue Jays	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked Toronto Blue Jays	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Toronto Blue Jays	45c	220$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121	1,310	43.6%571 W · 739 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Toronto Blue Jays	45c	220$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121	1,205	43%518 W · 687 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Tampa Bay Rays	55c	219.53$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.74	600	43.3%260 W · 340 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a21…4aa9backed Toronto Blue Jays	46c	217.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.39	144	52.8%76 W · 68 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcd2c…97c2backed Tampa Bay Rays	10c	208.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	91	17.6%16 W · 75 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8b…37c8backed Toronto Blue Jays	64c	205.93$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.13	95	70.5%67 W · 28 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06fa…d071backed Tampa Bay Rays	26c	201.87$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.96	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Toronto Blue Jays	45c	200$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	3,291	46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L	+20.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3814…17bcbacked Toronto Blue Jays	45c	200$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Tampa Bay Rays	56c	196.43$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	151	53%80 W · 71 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x018e…5c3dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	56c	190.91$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.95	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Tampa Bay Rays	55c	187.93$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.1	1,206	53.7%648 W · 558 L	+29.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	17c	180.15$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.93	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Tampa Bay Rays	56c	179.2$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	285	53%151 W · 134 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b25…edc5backed Tampa Bay Rays	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	78	46.2%36 W · 42 L	-7.3wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8718…ff8cbacked Tampa Bay Rays	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6c…906abacked Tampa Bay Rays	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96ca…cb5bbacked Tampa Bay Rays	31c	154.87$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	16c	150$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.98	1,056	44.3%468 W · 588 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Toronto Blue Jays	68c	147.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.06	347	56.5%196 W · 151 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Toronto Blue Jays	70c	143.78$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.68	406	58.4%237 W · 169 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x29de…d9e6backed Toronto Blue Jays	70c	143.78$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.7	552	59.6%329 W · 223 L	+11.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Tampa Bay Rays	57c	142.48$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.21	1,289	47.2%609 W · 680 L	-18.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Tampa Bay Rays	56c	138.41$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.51	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Toronto Blue Jays	77c	134.11$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.38	1,000	58.8%588 W · 412 L	+26.0wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Tampa Bay Rays	56c	130.11$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.31	341	49.3%168 W · 173 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Toronto Blue Jays	45c	130$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.5	1,277	43.1%550 W · 727 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 12.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 13.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 14.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 15.5Under won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event