CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a7720a618e92e5ede75ded381191ebeaeccf16e02b640ae3d381d1dfd39998a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Sinners, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $409,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $520,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Astralis | 53c | 12,135$6,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,738.01 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…c780backed Sinners | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…5777backed Sinners | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked Sinners | 1c | 9,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed Sinners | 1c | 9,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed Sinners | 55c | 8,526$4,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,668.26 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Sinners | 52c | 7,839$4,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088.16 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Sinners | 51c | 7,725$3,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,934.42 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 61c | 6,488$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.85 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Sinners | 2c | 6,000$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Astralis | 57c | 4,388$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.07 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…8ed1backed Astralis | 52c | 4,011$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.91 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Sinners | 2c | 3,900$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Sinners | 3c | 3,400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sinners | 51c | 3,236$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.23 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked Sinners | 39c | 3,039$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.12 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Sinners | 5c | 3,012$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Sinners | 3c | 2,520$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 7cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Sinners | 3c | 2,300$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Astralis | 47c | 2,273$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.52 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Astralis | 46c | 2,033$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.95 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Sinners | 19c | 1,900$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Sinners | 44c | 1,893$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 200 | 41.5%83 W · 117 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis | 58c | 1,787$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.66 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Astralis | 57c | 1,598$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.89 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 42c | 1,526$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Sinners | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Sinners | 55c | 1,465$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis | 50c | 1,400$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.19 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Astralis | 54c | 1,297$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.12 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…5aa1backed Sinners | 29c | 1,282$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.71 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 54c | 1,251$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.55 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Astralis | 59c | 1,179$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.99 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Astralis | 64c | 1,174$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.82 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Sinners | 58c | 1,110$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.49 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Astralis | 35c | 1,100$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Sinners | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Astralis | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Astralis | 71c | 996.98$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.35 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Astralis | 68c | 895$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.98 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astralis | 56c | 881.14$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.7 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Sinners | 2c | 840$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Astralis | 60c | 831.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.87 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b9…bdf4backed Astralis | 38c | 793.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.29 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Sinners | 42c | 714$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.58 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Sinners | 38c | 707$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.8 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Sinners | 11c | 687$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Sinners | 43c | 663.12$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.14 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…f7aabacked Sinners | 37c | 655$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Sinners | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Sinners | 33c | 615.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Sinners | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Astralis | 50c | 588$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.66 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Astralis | 66c | 579.71$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Sinners | 40c | 572.47$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.55 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Sinners | 41c | 557$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.37 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Astralis | 52c | 530.85$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.77 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Sinners | 9c | 524$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sinners | 47c | 515.16$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.95 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Astralis | 52c | 507.28$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.56 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Sinners | 17c | 500$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Sinners | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…cc95backed Sinners | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Sinners | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Sinners | 50c | 464.55$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.4 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ec…fc6ebacked Sinners | 24c | 419.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Sinners | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Sinners | 16c | 400$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Sinners | 15c | 400$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Astralis | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Astralis | 70c | 391.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.98 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Astralis | 62c | 384.27$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.46 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Sinners | 62c | 372.5$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.75 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Sinners | 29c | 365.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Sinners | 56c | 358.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis | 36c | 347.87$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.58 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Astralis | 63c | 333.26$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.68 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 54c | 333.07$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.8 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Sinners | 47c | 329.5$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.07 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Sinners | 46c | 315.28$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.53 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Astralis | 66c | 305.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Astralis | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed Astralis | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Sinners | 15c | 300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Sinners | 68c | 294.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Astralis | 70c | 294.31$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.29 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Sinners | 59c | 280.68$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Sinners | 54c | 266.67$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.67 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Sinners | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Astralis | 51c | 249.98$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.49 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Sinners | 60c | 248.43$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.01 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Astralis | 60c | 239.13$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Astralis | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Astralis | 64c | 231$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Astralis | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Sinners | 22c | 206$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Sinners | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Sinners | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Sinners | 26c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Astralis | 54c | 185.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.02 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.