CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ff893f4d0585b02c3aa5f6edfea16636979fb10f8d6c272e37ed890f265cd17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Sinners, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $408,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $480,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Sinners | 35c | 43,000$15,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,049.96 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Astralis | 67c | 17,916$11,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,968.35 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Astralis | 65c | 17,811$11,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,233.86 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Sinners | 35c | 12,041$4,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,214.47 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Sinners | 31c | 12,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.99 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Astralis | 65c | 10,463$6,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.05 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Astralis | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.97 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Sinners | 39c | 8,219$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,232.79 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked Sinners | 33c | 8,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.97 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Astralis | 61c | 7,848$4,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042.02 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Sinners | 27c | 7,702$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.49 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Astralis | 65c | 7,692$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.31 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Astralis | 66c | 7,680$5,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.58 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a90…1dddbacked Sinners | 34c | 7,574$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.67 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Astralis | 69c | 7,250$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.6 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Astralis | 69c | 7,000$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.61 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Sinners | 28c | 6,966$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.2 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Sinners | 35c | 6,634$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.94 | 846 | 58.4%494 W · 352 L | +60.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Sinners | 33c | 6,500$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.98 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked Astralis | 68c | 6,306$4,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.49 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Sinners | 29c | 5,407$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.34 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Astralis | 72c | 5,335$3,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.68 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Sinners | 36c | 5,201$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.19 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sinners | 31c | 5,181$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.04 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Astralis | 65c | 4,615$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.38 | 256 | 47.7%122 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Sinners | 32c | 4,440$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.71 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed Astralis | 65c | 4,267$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.31 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Sinners | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed Astralis | 67c | 3,832$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.57 | 152 | 64.5%98 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Astralis | 76c | 3,764$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.84 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…ffaabacked Astralis | 62c | 3,251$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.68 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Sinners | 34c | 3,122$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.26 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Astralis | 67c | 3,113$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.62 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Astralis | 67c | 3,112$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.98 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Sinners | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Astralis | 68c | 3,000$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.31 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Sinners | 36c | 2,968$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.44 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Astralis | 65c | 2,888$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.83 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Astralis | 65c | 2,854$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.9 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 65c | 2,798$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.75 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Sinners | 36c | 2,780$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.8 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Sinners | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Astralis | 68c | 2,739$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.48 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Sinners | 27c | 2,514$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.86 | 873 | 30.9%270 W · 603 L | -62.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Sinners | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 65c | 2,447$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.15 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Sinners | 15c | 2,333$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Sinners | 32c | 2,292$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.19 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sinners | 32c | 2,256$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.37 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Sinners | 33c | 2,200$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.97 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Astralis | 65c | 2,140$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.88 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Sinners | 10c | 2,100$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed Astralis | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Sinners | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Astralis | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +310.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0d…7d89backed Astralis | 65c | 1,897$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Astralis | 65c | 1,846$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…af4bbacked Astralis | 62c | 1,840$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.72 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Sinners | 33c | 1,822$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.17 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Sinners | 34c | 1,766$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.29 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Sinners | 27c | 1,749$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.25 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Sinners | 35c | 1,714$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.89 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c44…4b9dbacked Sinners | 16c | 1,658$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Astralis | 67c | 1,610$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.45 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Sinners | 32c | 1,603$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.65 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sinners | 33c | 1,590$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.45 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Sinners | 34c | 1,585$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Sinners | 35c | 1,571$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Sinners | 19c | 1,538$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.43 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Astralis | 65c | 1,525$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.75 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Astralis | 65c | 1,500$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Astralis | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Astralis | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Astralis | 65c | 1,415$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.24 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Sinners | 35c | 1,400$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Astralis | 67c | 1,381$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.6 | 633 | 41.9%265 W · 368 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Sinners | 20c | 1,278$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Sinners | 33c | 1,250$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 67c | 1,250$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.89 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Sinners | 40c | 1,248$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Astralis | 80c | 1,218$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.52 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…9a6cbacked Sinners | 42c | 1,194$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.58 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Astralis | 64c | 1,148$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.16 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Sinners | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Astralis | 76c | 1,083$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.22 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Sinners | 29c | 1,030$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.87 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Astralis | 65c | 1,011$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.71 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Astralis | 64c | 1,006$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362 | 480 | 40%192 W · 288 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Sinners | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Astralis | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Astralis | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Sinners | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 967 | 40.7%394 W · 573 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Sinners | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Astralis | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…bf97backed Astralis | 65c | 980.42$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.15 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Sinners | 36c | 941.5$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.66 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Astralis | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sinners | 32c | 915.73$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.72 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Astralis | 63c | 888$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.56 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Astralis | 65c | 859.99$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 236 | 46.2%109 W · 127 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.