CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfabbaa8fc8cdefdebf3e66cd7f383f2200c8662edd4a5546a752f0a37a9548f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Sinners, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Sinners | 1c | 29,050$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.5 | 134 | 16.4%22 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sinners | 45c | 13,801$6,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,231.32 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Astralis | 68c | 10,000$6,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,217.8 | 502 | 54.2%272 W · 230 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed Sinners | 52c | 8,766$4,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,523.88 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Sinners | 31c | 5,000$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked Sinners | 52c | 4,547$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.12 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Sinners | 31c | 4,410$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.09 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Astralis | 47c | 3,475$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.98 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…f7aabacked Astralis | 69c | 3,000$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Sinners | 33c | 2,688$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.05 | 463 | 49.9%231 W · 232 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 52c | 2,461$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.76 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked Astralis | 57c | 2,422$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.51 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Astralis | 52c | 2,314$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.43 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Sinners | 34c | 2,300$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791 | 755 | 45.6%344 W · 411 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis | 53c | 2,170$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.33 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Astralis | 69c | 1,957$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.67 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Sinners | 44c | 1,805$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.95 | 413 | 40.2%166 W · 247 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis | 55c | 1,788$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.17 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astralis | 55c | 1,724$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.68 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Astralis | 66c | 1,600$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Astralis | 53c | 1,402$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.12 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Astralis | 50c | 1,374$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.9 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…8b42backed Astralis | 61c | 1,360$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.28 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Astralis | 57c | 1,266$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.94 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Sinners | 34c | 1,217$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.16 | 462 | 46.8%216 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Astralis | 55c | 1,200$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Astralis | 65c | 1,120$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.59 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Astralis | 66c | 1,111$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.25 | 201 | 41.8%84 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Sinners | 32c | 1,094$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Sinners | 46c | 1,068$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.58 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 55c | 1,010$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.19 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sinners | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.3 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Astralis | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 394 | 68%268 W · 126 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sinners | 35c | 881.7$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.44 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Sinners | 31c | 859.42$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.39 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Sinners | 48c | 854.63$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.96 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Sinners | 33c | 849.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Sinners | 32c | 813.59$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…c1cfbacked Astralis | 68c | 749.3$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.78 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Astralis | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Astralis | 78c | 685.03$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.78 | 231 | 72.3%167 W · 64 L | +27.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sinners | 38c | 657.76$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sinners | 39c | 635.13$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sinners | 47c | 628.95$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.7 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Sinners | 45c | 597.06$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.13 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Sinners | 32c | 580.62$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.8 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Sinners | 34c | 550$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Sinners | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…4e6cbacked Sinners | 32c | 485.8$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.46 | 277 | 49.5%137 W · 140 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Astralis | 66c | 449.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.4 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Astralis | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Astralis | 58c | 425.73$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.81 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…74adbacked Sinners | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Astralis | 49c | 393.7$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.51 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe110…ade6backed Sinners | 51c | 372.75$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 53c | 366.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.1 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Astralis | 67c | 350$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed Astralis | 78c | 340$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.61 | 592 | 62.2%368 W · 224 L | +21.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…c29ebacked Astralis | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Sinners | 31c | 320$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Astralis | 68c | 306$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Astralis | 75c | 304.58$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Astralis | 51c | 296.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Sinners | 25c | 283$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed Astralis | 53c | 281.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.29 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Astralis | 52c | 254.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Astralis | 80c | 250.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 661 | 62.6%414 W · 247 L | +29.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Sinners | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 215 | 19.1%41 W · 174 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Astralis | 67c | 240$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 504 | 58.5%295 W · 209 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa503…c5b9backed Sinners | 31c | 237.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Sinners | 32c | 234.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Astralis | 74c | 225.67$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Astralis | 69c | 224$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Sinners | 32c | 210$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Sinners | 34c | 209.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked Sinners | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…6fe9backed Astralis | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…55d3backed Sinners | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Astralis | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Astralis | 58c | 190.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Astralis | 69c | 184.86$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Astralis | 69c | 174.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Sinners | 19c | 159.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Astralis | 62c | 159.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 362 | 39.2%142 W · 220 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Astralis | 63c | 155.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 265 | 64.2%170 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Astralis | 70c | 155$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9586…de67backed Astralis | 66c | 152.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…c91fbacked Astralis | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed Astralis | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Sinners | 50c | 149.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…5e2ebacked Astralis | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Sinners | 33c | 147.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Astralis | 63c | 145.03$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Astralis | 72c | 139.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Astralis | 51c | 137.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Astralis | 57c | 130.73$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sinners | 34c | 121$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Astralis | 52c | 116.88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35dc…09e9backed Sinners | 34c | 115.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Astralis | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.