CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x447f5a5fd13c135a0c6e732e2e39b53fbc8715a0abd010876f687ce929ff46dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, Sinners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Sinners | 63c | 56,000$35,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,279.99 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Astralis | 37c | 55,973$20,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,262.96 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Sinners | 59c | 10,398$6,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,134.86 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Astralis | 41c | 10,000$4,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,925.66 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Astralis | 39c | 5,356$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.22 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Sinners | 60c | 3,347$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.22 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Sinners | 61c | 2,507$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.53 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Astralis | 69c | 2,313$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.68 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Astralis | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Sinners | 31c | 1,957$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.75 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Sinners | 61c | 1,868$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.46 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…ea53backed Sinners | 61c | 1,816$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.92 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Astralis | 37c | 1,814$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.72 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Sinners | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Astralis | 72c | 1,305$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.16 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…3cc3backed Astralis | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Sinners | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.9 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Sinners | 60c | 999$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.4 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed Astralis | 40c | 969.98$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.99 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b9…bdf4backed Sinners | 64c | 787.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…76a2backed Astralis | 40c | 750.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.52 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Astralis | 41c | 742$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.78 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sinners | 59c | 586.24$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.19 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…8a96backed Astralis | 37c | 541.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.08 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Astralis | 41c | 480.29$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.37 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Sinners | 29c | 412.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Astralis | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Sinners | 70c | 328.29$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sinners | 58c | 305.21$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.02 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Sinners | 61c | 303.55$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.17 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…1cbbbacked Sinners | 30c | 286.44$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Sinners | 30c | 282.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.67 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Astralis | 39c | 273.3$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.71 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Astralis | 39c | 258.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.45 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed Astralis | 39c | 257.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.1 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Astralis | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Sinners | 60c | 251.67$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Astralis | 41c | 239.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Astralis | 30c | 238.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.11 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Sinners | 58c | 237.44$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.74 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Sinners | 61c | 224.4$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.88 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed Sinners | 61c | 209.84$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Astralis | 40c | 203.66$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Sinners | 61c | 195.77$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Sinners | 15c | 194.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed Astralis | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Sinners | 61c | 170.49$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Sinners | 61c | 170$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Sinners | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Astralis | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Astralis | 36c | 119.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Astralis | 40c | 111$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Sinners | 31c | 101.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Astralis | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Sinners | 64c | 91.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…d036backed Sinners | 34c | 86.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed Astralis | 41c | 86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Sinners | 14c | 86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Astralis | 40c | 85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Sinners | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…0ef8backed Astralis | 38c | 77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc879…30a4backed Astralis | 43c | 67.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…3047backed Astralis | 37c | 67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…f559backed Sinners | 61c | 65.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Sinners | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Astralis | 41c | 63.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Astralis | 35c | 61.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Astralis | 38c | 57.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Sinners | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Astralis | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Astralis | 39c | 49.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 233 | 54.5%127 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Astralis | 39c | 46.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Astralis | 41c | 42.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6e…5483backed Sinners | 37c | 42.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed Sinners | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…386fbacked Astralis | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Astralis | 72c | 39.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Sinners | 33c | 38.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Astralis | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Astralis | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 62c | 34.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sinners | 62c | 30.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Astralis | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Astralis | 38c | 29.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Astralis | 39c | 28.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…f9f7backed Astralis | 39c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Astralis | 40c | 25.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa503…c5b9backed Sinners | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Sinners | 51c | 20.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Sinners | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.