CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x359c8eb9de7b5095294396f2ac3da2efaa27ebef33021a04f17c5bc6cea36923
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Over | 48c | 63,000$30,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,236.39 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 52c | 60,764$31,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,166.66 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 51c | 1,922$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.02 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 999.95$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.98 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 56c | 900.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…8a96backed Over | 46c | 541$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.86 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 52c | 511.11$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.33 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 500$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Under | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 44c | 398.48$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.76 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 54c | 357.22$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.32 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 54c | 322.62$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 49c | 314.9$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.87 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 53c | 294.4$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.37 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7173…7a4cbacked Under | 54c | 110.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…20b3backed Over | 49c | 101.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Under | 52c | 95.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…bfbfbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 13c | 84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 35c | 78.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 46c | 77.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f22…9d96backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 34c | 71.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 54c | 66.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 41c | 64.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…f559backed Over | 49c | 51.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 53c | 51.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 54c | 50.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Under | 53c | 49.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…01d2backed Under | 54c | 49.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5f…1c3cbacked Under | 58c | 48.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +303.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Under | 52c | 45.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 53c | 35.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…2e55backed Under | 46c | 34.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfad0…490fbacked Over | 47c | 29.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…2be4backed Over | 46c | 26.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 53c | 25.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 54c | 25.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…99febacked Under | 64c | 22.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Under | 69c | 15.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.