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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Team Falcons, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$716,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$834,625

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $716,336 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 463 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee21…6f5fbacked Legacy29c37,064$10,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,313.231233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons39c35,014$13,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,763.194,26149.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L+62.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons43c31,389$13,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,503.723,26250.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L+97.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Legacy69c25,655$17,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,868.4922468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Legacy59c19,380$11,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,896.061,46139.3%574 W · 887 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x372f…182abacked Team Falcons0c18,930$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.694951%25 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons72c18,037$12,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,925.5777957.4%447 W · 332 L+1.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Legacy44c17,938$7,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,015.553342.6%227 W · 306 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Legacy51c13,117$6,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,476.0733043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Legacy27c12,498$3,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,173.3411439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Falcons73c11,250$8,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,192.4937254%201 W · 171 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Legacy44c11,100$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,220.148043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons51c10,000$5,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,093.9150754%274 W · 233 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons61c9,560$5,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,875.8725655.5%142 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Falcons73c8,933$6,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,529.1565751.9%341 W · 316 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Legacy27c8,444$2,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,165.1323543.8%103 W · 132 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons43c8,237$3,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,532.76,52242.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L-80.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Legacy53c7,935$4,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,725.3121251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Legacy28c7,134$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,136.5714050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Team Falcons30c6,564$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.9614947.7%71 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Team Falcons33c6,156$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.859232.6%30 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Team Falcons14c5,874$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.656654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons48c5,743$2,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,743.0988848.3%429 W · 459 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…aea3backed Team Falcons38c5,707$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,165.741346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8d…24dfbacked Legacy48c5,688$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,948.032152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Legacy58c5,215$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.6516248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x722b…c68bbacked Legacy63c4,735$2,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.041070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons47c4,265$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.711,27347.1%600 W · 673 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons39c4,179$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.752,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b14…039bbacked Team Falcons69c4,155$2,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,865.6211871.2%84 W · 34 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Team Falcons74c4,023$2,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,972.3627658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ceb…28fdbacked Legacy30c4,000$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,801.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Legacy55c3,839$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.8912449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Legacy61c3,777$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.6433359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Legacy56c3,722$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.2720249.5%100 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Team Falcons29c3,641$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.7992456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Team Falcons57c3,450$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97323449.1%115 W · 119 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeff…68dbbacked Team Falcons68c3,445$2,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,332.26366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Team Falcons49c3,255$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.6615155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255f…cd91backed Team Falcons70c3,123$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,185.288947.2%42 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed55…1932backed Team Falcons65c3,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Legacy27c2,905$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,108.2546750.1%234 W · 233 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Legacy49c2,829$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.7817849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed Team Falcons59c2,794$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.6428960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x846c…0366backed Team Falcons51c2,613$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.4818963.5%120 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Team Falcons73c2,515$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.228657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Legacy53c2,452$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.882543%355 W · 470 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Legacy27c2,442$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.8264041.9%268 W · 372 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed Legacy62c2,434$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.5412753.5%68 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Legacy40c2,408$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.4662534.9%218 W · 407 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Falcons20c2,408$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.132,69130.7%826 W · 1,865 L-110.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Team Falcons61c2,390$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.792751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6dd…50acbacked Team Falcons36c2,353$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Legacy43c2,312$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3126544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58d1…7ab6backed Legacy27c2,305$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.94546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Legacy35c2,130$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.595,13755%2,826 W · 2,311 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed Team Falcons50c2,100$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05718056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Team Falcons71c1,980$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.826048.8%127 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90eb…db79backed Team Falcons54c1,844$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons62c1,820$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.4715153.6%81 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb676…3303backed Legacy57c1,751$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.883647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Legacy52c1,604$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.215,40031.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L-393.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Legacy36c1,600$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.7814042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Team Falcons1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151080.9%1 W · 107 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Team Falcons16c1,500$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.1741716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Legacy30c1,490$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.5240140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Team Falcons72c1,426$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.2641069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Team Falcons76c1,371$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.7123354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked Legacy75c1,344$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.966972.5%50 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+61.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed Team Falcons62c1,296$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7996949.3%34 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Legacy28c1,269$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.082,12041.9%889 W · 1,231 L-47.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f9…3c97backed Team Falcons55c1,250$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Team Falcons63c1,201$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.7445455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Team Falcons26c1,200$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31218338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Legacy28c1,200$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.9932346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Legacy43c1,188$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.325,91137.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L+74.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Team Falcons52c1,186$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.4240254%217 W · 185 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Legacy63c1,100$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40748437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28a0…9884backed Team Falcons62c1,081$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.011833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Legacy47c1,073$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.5819248.4%93 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Legacy51c1,038$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.8932425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Legacy44c1,036$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.824452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Team Falcons39c1,031$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.712218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-63%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Team Falcons49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026454.9%145 W · 119 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Legacy50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50018846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74046058.7%270 W · 190 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Legacy51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4902240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Team Falcons72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7208149.4%40 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Legacy27c999.98$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.981,43233.6%481 W · 951 L+41.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Legacy49c999.8$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.946749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed Team Falcons73c958.9$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70028961.2%177 W · 112 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f7…9bf9backed Legacy53c917.15$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.827748.1%37 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Falcons55c870.46$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.832,67451.9%1,388 W · 1,286 L+25.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Team Falcons72c855.58$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.021163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ff…906cbacked Team Falcons61c814$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.543351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Team Falcons53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42417460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Legacy63c793.51$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.993,31945.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L-87.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Legacy29c791.14$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.7138835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons54c754.77$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.082,70747.9%1,296 W · 1,411 L-30.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde19…3a14backed Team Falcons73c753.05$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.7312552.8%66 W · 59 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.