Music · resolved market
Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b25d07c8e9eabf951c9cc81e3f8aa2c3108918f9767bf815b05e78ac101eae0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3574…0f66backed Yes | 45c | 1,893$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…133dbacked No | 55c | 820$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5039…946dbacked Yes | 73c | 662.67$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked No | 28c | 650.02$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.72 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 54c | 554.25$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.3 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 66c | 442.73$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.11 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 30c | 420.36$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…49c9backed No | 30c | 311.07$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 31c | 305.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked No | 34c | 271.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 13c | 203.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92a…a51cbacked No | 31c | 190.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 63c | 170.11$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 10c | 153.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba54…699dbacked No | 34c | 148.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…64ddbacked No | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d0…b8ddbacked No | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc8…a7a5backed No | 32c | 110.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…e4d3backed No | 25c | 99.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Yes | 68c | 95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 54c | 85.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed Yes | 59c | 81.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed No | 45c | 70.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 16c | 69.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…f1bbbacked Yes | 68c | 66.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014f…f58cbacked No | 23c | 63.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 69c | 55.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 29c | 49.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…e20dbacked Yes | 69c | 49.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…67e5backed No | 42c | 48.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 46.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…b306backed Yes | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Yes | 74c | 43.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 35c | 41.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6a…a71dbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932f…e10ebacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfb…e887backed Yes | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0815…1dc5backed No | 27c | 39.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…ef84backed No | 27c | 38.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…d842backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…83a4backed No | 72c | 36.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0a…ccdcbacked No | 41c | 35.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa215…6c76backed No | 32c | 33.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed No | 59c | 30.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…9bd2backed No | 64c | 29.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa92…cda4backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeba…7a91backed Yes | 71c | 27.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84a9…dbc4backed Yes | 61c | 23.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked Yes | 56c | 19.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa056…0f70backed Yes | 70c | 17.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?this page
- Will "2026" be said on ICEMAN?No won
- Will "Armani" be said on ICEMAN?No won
- Will "Batman" be said on ICEMAN?No won
- Will "Caleb" be said on ICEMAN?No won
- Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?Yes won
- Will "Daddy" be said on ICEMAN?No won
- Will "Epstein" be said on ICEMAN?No won
- Will "Kanye" be said on ICEMAN?No won
- Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?No won
- Will "Kendrick" or "Lamar" be said on ICEMAN?No won
- Will "LeBron" or "Bronny" be said on ICEMAN?No won
- Will "No No No" be said on ICEMAN?No won
- Will "Nuclear" or "Nuke" be said on ICEMAN?No won
- Will "Pinocchio" be said on ICEMAN?No won
- Will "Russia" be said on ICEMAN?No won
- Will "Six Seven" be said on ICEMAN?No won
- Will "Super Bowl" be said on ICEMAN?No won
- Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?Yes won
- Will "Trump" or "Obama" be said on ICEMAN?No won
- Will "Virgil" be said on ICEMAN?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.