TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x033f…618ebacked No58c4,773$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,769.99935.4%35 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes33c3,642$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,434.459164.8%59 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe807…4d35backed No56c2,655$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.541546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No1c1,953$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.883766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes59c1,480$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.8520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-66.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes62c1,049$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.474148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed Yes25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7506336.5%23 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked No70c739.31$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8871…a59abacked No20c686.13$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.31911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No17c658.54$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.082425%6 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06dd…af8bbacked No73c608$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.322045%9 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4f…728abacked No60c541.07$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.75650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes76c474.66$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.822650%13 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes29c472.9$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.764035%14 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes78c463.23$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.381747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x203f…3ddebacked Yes73c456.07$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.071241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe66e…946bbacked No57c417.52$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2383930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes56c402.26$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2611836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x064a…6007backed Yes60c334.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.31250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No67c331.57$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.096050%30 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a77…6b9fbacked No63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ef1…7127backed Yes63c312.3$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.61540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e8…cc6cbacked Yes73c307.64$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.843259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes36c304.21$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5711637.9%44 W · 72 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d2…7ad6backed Yes57c292.6$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8310065%65 W · 35 L+20.3wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+66.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes30c283.09$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.1620843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked No7c278.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4690%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes34c225.02$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.494139%16 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7c0…f389backed Yes35c210$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.51450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x949c…ab2cbacked Yes39c206.62$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.623129%9 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Yes9c200$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1823100%3 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+680.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x941e…9775backed Yes47c197.96$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.422352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No72c184.01$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.128138.3%31 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes32c178.97$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.631315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-35.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x22df…ed56backed No28c177.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No24c172.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.512839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No19c149.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.136325.4%16 W · 47 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-49.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4513…3449backed Yes70c142.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No68c124$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.752653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed No67c123.13$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-59.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Yes66c118.62$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0397…6f51backed Yes69c116.84$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.951145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c04…8098backed Yes30c115.91$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+146.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x095b…25cabacked Yes27c110.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Yes33c109.91$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+160.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe96…4a6dbacked No70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-57%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed No56c97.95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.251747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked Yes73c85.74$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes37c81.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.57955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+74.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Yes37c80.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Yes63c77.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes33c75.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.136827.9%19 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8934…a13cbacked Yes40c62.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a95…5d96backed Yes35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+78.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked Yes70c56.49$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1a…4221backed No37c53.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a76…a671backed Yes40c53.3$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x976e…ecf3backed No67c53$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed No65c50.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8be4…a60cbacked Yes25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Yes75c48.18$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe11e…c0d5backed No64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8de4…67a8backed Yes70c46.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.78580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Yes36c43.17$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed No70c42.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.634555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No33c42.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.72616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-64.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes36c41.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+178.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1130…2098backed Yes36c40.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+174.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34c5…4388backed No48c38.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x227d…1a26backed No64c31.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-75%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xccc6…ab4ebacked Yes50c30.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7311845.8%54 W · 64 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Yes66c29.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.841758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x080a…ee79backed Yes38c26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+101%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1514429.9%43 W · 101 L+14.2wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x978b…2addbacked No67c24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdade…9279backed Yes50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Yes52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.222035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Yes69c19.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.02771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a91…5769backed Yes73c18.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f1…eceabacked Yes67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.