MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34bee39a68d7459a5380229787d0361e0bf1e68e4b17bdea0720fce35be55d69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 9,850$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,635.15 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 7,241$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.99 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…fd47backed St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 6,257$4,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.87 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 6,031$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.79 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 5,648$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.28 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 5,338$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.48 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 5,086$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.34 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 3,207$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.99 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 3,132$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.75 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 2,866$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.32 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 2,651$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.89 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 2,480$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.16 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 2,002$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.95 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,602$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.53 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…522dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 1,519$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.89 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 1,469$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.26 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 1,374$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.87 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,083$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.94 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 827.68$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.9 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 779.8$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.82 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 749$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.01 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 745.1$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 8c | 700.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 649.03$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.08 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Cincinnati Reds | 3c | 584.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 562.35$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.93 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 551.56$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.78 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 484.5$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.56 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 361.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.13 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 325.57$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.02 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 298.51$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 287.76$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d071backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 263.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.71 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 259.97$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.19 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 241.07$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 224.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 221$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 198.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10c2…b137backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 184.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 140.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 133.81$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 127.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 122.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 121.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 114$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 447 | 50.6%226 W · 221 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…b6e1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 103.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…47b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 98.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 96.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 95.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6c…906abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 88.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 83.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe017…9036backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 77.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 70.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 655 | 42.4%278 W · 377 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 67.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 60.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 57.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…6e63backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 51.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 48.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 48.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | -10.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.