Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed5bc3a107e3c54e4cbb981fa4178d2605fd89f2d1be2b625dab9c602714584b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39c6…daeebacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 3,208$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Team Falcons | 76c | 2,519$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.64 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,807$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.7 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 1,705$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.96 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Team Falcons | 79c | 1,293$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.67 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,200$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 1,200$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c4…9736backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 871$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 843.51$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.5 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 813.8$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.34 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 802$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc497…d6e4backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 790$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…e081backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 753$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 726.86$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.45 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 701.75$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.75 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 681.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Team Falcons | 77c | 653.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.04 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 634.62$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.62 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 77c | 625.58$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…78cebacked Team Falcons | 73c | 581$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 545.81$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.34 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6a…31f4backed Team Falcons | 73c | 539$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 507.25$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.57 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 72c | 504.89$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.56 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa082…320abacked Team Falcons | 75c | 468.93$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x148a…d483backed Team Falcons | 73c | 436$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Team Falcons | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed Team Falcons | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Team Falcons | 74c | 378.38$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.38 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Team Falcons | 75c | 349.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Team Falcons | 77c | 334.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 327.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Team Falcons | 77c | 325.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…0ca7backed Team Falcons | 73c | 317$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…c231backed Team Falcons | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 290.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…092ebacked Team Falcons | 78c | 277.17$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 269.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 266.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 266$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…2951backed Team Falcons | 73c | 266$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Team Falcons | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…b39cbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 263$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 258.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 250.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 245.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 221.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Team Falcons | 74c | 203.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…c0bebacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 197.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ae…df55backed Team Falcons | 75c | 161.32$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Team Falcons | 78c | 147.83$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…7245backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 147.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…47f3backed Team Falcons | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d34…ddfcbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 140$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Team Falcons | 75c | 139.07$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed Team Falcons | 74c | 135.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Team Falcons | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…d648backed Team Falcons | 79c | 126.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 71cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…8f14backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 98.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 98.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 96.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 95.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 83.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 79.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…d43dbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a73…9daabacked Team Falcons | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…b5dabacked Team Falcons | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 65.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Team Falcons | 77c | 64.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Team Falcons | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27e…f46cbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 62.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…a111backed Team Falcons | 75c | 62.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…f64ebacked Team Falcons | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 52.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Team Falcons | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 50.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Team Falcons | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 48.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Team Falcons | 74c | 44.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3183…a303backed Team Falcons | 74c | 40.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33da…f818backed Team Falcons | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad4…721fbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Team Falcons | 75c | 38.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…f49cbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 27 | 92.6%25 W · 2 L | +6.5wins | +0.24per pick | 69cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Team Falcons | 78c | 36.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…2135backed Team Falcons | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1a…202fbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…300cbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 27.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Team Falcons | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…3bf9backed Team Falcons | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.