CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ac0d7e5e92da40f59532f497edcba0c070a9f03d363cdc0371a5b7f48b0d67c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz | 61c | 37,891$22,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,891.6 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed paiN | 44c | 30,000$13,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,094.18 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed TheMongolz | 57c | 8,994$5,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.35 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed TheMongolz | 61c | 8,184$5,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,170.37 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked paiN | 42c | 6,601$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.6 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed paiN | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.99 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN | 27c | 5,384$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.19 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed paiN | 0c | 4,599$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4df1backed TheMongolz | 58c | 3,910$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.37 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked paiN | 27c | 3,832$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.95 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a97…6315backed paiN | 26c | 3,037$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked TheMongolz | 56c | 2,676$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.02 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked TheMongolz | 70c | 2,560$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.45 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked paiN | 42c | 1,751$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.41 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 1,380$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.74 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked paiN | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed TheMongolz | 76c | 1,151$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.89 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed TheMongolz | 59c | 999.99$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TheMongolz | 60c | 909.13$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.23 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked TheMongolz | 69c | 894$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.97 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked paiN | 10c | 657.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked paiN | 41c | 657.64$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.01 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed TheMongolz | 58c | 597.64$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.01 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked TheMongolz | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked paiN | 43c | 527.16$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.68 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed paiN | 32c | 520.74$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.52 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed paiN | 7c | 430.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed paiN | 21c | 310$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 119 | 28.6%34 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked TheMongolz | 63c | 307.01$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.25 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…d360backed TheMongolz | 60c | 289.94$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed TheMongolz | 78c | 276.38$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed TheMongolz | 57c | 270$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz | 70c | 205.54$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464b…06f5backed paiN | 15c | 205.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…bc57backed paiN | 43c | 184.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…275ebacked TheMongolz | 58c | 173.79$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked paiN | 10c | 167.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz | 62c | 150.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed TheMongolz | 79c | 131.11$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 64c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz | 64c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked paiN | 44c | 119.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed paiN | 26c | 107.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed TheMongolz | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…5b3abacked TheMongolz | 79c | 78.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27a…ddb9backed TheMongolz | 58c | 77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed paiN | 20c | 74.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed paiN | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed paiN | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed TheMongolz | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed paiN | 19c | 64.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed paiN | 24c | 62.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed paiN | 43c | 60.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed TheMongolz | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked paiN | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…fb0bbacked TheMongolz | 63c | 51.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 50.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed paiN | 28c | 48.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN | 32c | 47.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked paiN | 45c | 42.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…b3a8backed TheMongolz | 61c | 36.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…deffbacked paiN | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…de63backed TheMongolz | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…d127backed TheMongolz | 56c | 18.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…80d2backed TheMongolz | 60c | 16.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)paiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.