CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91e37d5eb7a3166edcbce25498609c4b356830eaa438c3bdd9fff022cea96ac5

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: paiNof TheMongolz, paiN
Resolved: Feb 14, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $49,471
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $61,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,471 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz	38c	9,949$3,784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,784.33	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked paiN	53c	1,893$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$893.02	260	45%117 W · 143 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked TheMongolz	25c	911.28$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.25	1,181	22.5%266 W · 915 L	+3.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed paiN	75c	897.25$674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.62	388	68.3%265 W · 123 L	+25.7wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked TheMongolz	26c	857.6$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.6	284	43.7%124 W · 160 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz	26c	802.2$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.04	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed paiN	75c	800$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.27	589	61.3%361 W · 228 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb2…9f23backed TheMongolz	42c	714.29$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked TheMongolz	27c	707.19$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.94	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+3.4wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked paiN	52c	699$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.99	256	51.2%131 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked paiN	59c	649.62$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.41	1,611	45.4%731 W · 880 L	+30.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TheMongolz	50c	626.57$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.29	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked paiN	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	225	50.7%114 W · 111 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed paiN	49c	580$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.8	469	49.7%233 W · 236 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed TheMongolz	28c	534.5$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.42	1,378	45.2%623 W · 755 L	+17.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked TheMongolz	48c	506$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.48	477	38.4%183 W · 294 L	-26.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked TheMongolz	51c	500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	362	45.3%164 W · 198 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed TheMongolz	7c	492.92$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.13	260	46.9%122 W · 138 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe875…55d2backed paiN	79c	431.84$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.44	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	65cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked paiN	65c	420.29$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.63	1,054	49%516 W · 538 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed TheMongolz	32c	400$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	353	44.8%158 W · 195 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked TheMongolz	52c	373.76$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.09	598	39.6%237 W · 361 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed TheMongolz	7c	361.83$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.29	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed TheMongolz	5c	356$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.96	1,500	9.9%148 W · 1,352 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz	34c	275.01$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.64	1,969	46.7%919 W · 1,050 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz	32c	235.56$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.24	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked paiN	51c	219$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.5	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz	29c	212$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.58	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x355c…2c1cbacked paiN	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed TheMongolz	22c	190.65$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.68	2,066	41.5%858 W · 1,208 L	-49.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked paiN	78c	176$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.72	601	47.4%285 W · 316 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked TheMongolz	48c	170$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.15	1,040	44%458 W · 582 L	-22.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz	29c	152.22$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.08	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed TheMongolz	48c	149.99$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.25	177	45.8%81 W · 96 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed TheMongolz	50c	140$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.2	625	38.6%241 W · 384 L	-16.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ecd…091dbacked paiN	48c	124.14$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.14	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+3.0wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed paiN	68c	122.18$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.16	529	47.1%249 W · 280 L	-14.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd166…666ebacked TheMongolz	17c	120$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.6	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed TheMongolz	10c	118.47$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.29	78	28.2%22 W · 56 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	+113.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffd2…f425backed TheMongolz	55c	109.92$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.73	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked TheMongolz	30c	106.5$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	596	47.3%282 W · 314 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5e…7b83backed TheMongolz	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed paiN	78c	96.49$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.49	317	57.7%183 W · 134 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed paiN	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	1,248	41.3%516 W · 732 L	+5.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed paiN	51c	92.96$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.22	326	53.1%173 W · 153 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked TheMongolz	16c	90$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	696	24%167 W · 529 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5541…f1e3backed paiN	49c	89.8$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.8	191	50.8%97 W · 94 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked paiN	53c	82.88$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.12	242	49.2%119 W · 123 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed TheMongolz	24c	80.87$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.11	2,102	16.8%353 W · 1,749 L	-286.5wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed TheMongolz	47c	79.13$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	1,547	33.9%524 W · 1,023 L	-73.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed paiN	60c	69.99$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked paiN	73c	67.92$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.26	90	38.9%35 W · 55 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7b4…96a4backed TheMongolz	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1d…4fe9backed TheMongolz	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked paiN	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	535	45%241 W · 294 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed paiN	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	564	54.3%306 W · 258 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed paiN	67c	40$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	194	42.8%83 W · 111 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed TheMongolz	28c	37.95$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.73	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked TheMongolz	52c	36.84$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.25	378	59.5%225 W · 153 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed TheMongolz	42c	36.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.14	84	35.7%30 W · 54 L	-9.3wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x15f2…f5e7backed paiN	77c	32.47$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.47	107	52.3%56 W · 51 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcd4…b3a8backed TheMongolz	43c	32.47$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked TheMongolz	50c	30.13$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed TheMongolz	39c	28.75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.27	98	43.9%43 W · 55 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d6d…8601backed TheMongolz	55c	27.47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked paiN	50c	26$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	807	41.3%333 W · 474 L	-10.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x957c…2965backed paiN	76c	20.99$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.96	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed TheMongolz	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageTheMongolz won
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)paiN won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event