Serie A · resolved market
Will Inter Milan beat Torino?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf76fb0d7b08fe33434f0a2f9fcf5b8cec3c9c32df62bccbebf86f701669baa19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6332…6128backed Yes | 59c | 1,025$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 42c | 940$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.44 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 41c | 607.46$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.06 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 57c | 553.58$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 42c | 333.91$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…012bbacked Yes | 55c | 259.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 42c | 242.33$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…091cbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 42c | 71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…67a8backed Yes | 57c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bc…aafbbacked No | 70c | 45.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa45…0339backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 30c | 41.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +169.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bc…5607backed Yes | 58c | 25.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…5468backed Yes | 58c | 23.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6f…9de1backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…de63backed Yes | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.