NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25fdd8196514d1f1c26e237d58e44ec639031d0cc4e60e8f5da6816dd24a6d2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Mavericks, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $456,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $515,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $456,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Mavericks | 18c | 73,739$13,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,549.76 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x549f…c945backed Mavericks | 24c | 47,754$11,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,454.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Warriors | 75c | 31,121$23,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,636.33 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Warriors | 76c | 30,984$23,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.51 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Warriors | 78c | 15,541$12,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,418.93 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked Warriors | 80c | 13,954$11,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Warriors | 76c | 13,614$10,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.44 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Warriors | 75c | 12,176$9,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.3 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Mavericks | 3c | 11,828$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.76 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Warriors | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bf…6f28backed Mavericks | 24c | 9,260$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1699…80e2backed Warriors | 76c | 9,260$7,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Mavericks | 5c | 8,858$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 26c | 7,121$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Mavericks | 6c | 7,000$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Mavericks | 18c | 6,366$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Mavericks | 13c | 6,325$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.12 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Mavericks | 23c | 6,209$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.16 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 74c | 5,698$4,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.61 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Mavericks | 1c | 5,050$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Mavericks | 3c | 4,850$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Mavericks | 28c | 4,466$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.69 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Mavericks | 14c | 4,000$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Mavericks | 4c | 3,392$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Warriors | 73c | 3,301$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.4 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Mavericks | 25c | 3,280$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.2 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Mavericks | 25c | 3,192$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Mavericks | 26c | 3,162$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.39 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Mavericks | 25c | 3,004$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.1 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Warriors | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Mavericks | 27c | 2,465$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Warriors | 75c | 2,360$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.73 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Mavericks | 23c | 2,315$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.42 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7704…d9ddbacked Mavericks | 18c | 2,314$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Mavericks | 5c | 2,228$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Warriors | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Mavericks | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Warriors | 74c | 1,965$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.48 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Warriors | 76c | 1,870$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.65 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Mavericks | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mavericks | 1c | 1,711$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…d34abacked Mavericks | 1c | 1,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 15c | 1,571$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.17 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Mavericks | 22c | 1,563$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.76 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Warriors | 68c | 1,561$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.77 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Warriors | 79c | 1,333$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.91 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Mavericks | 11c | 1,298$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.44 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdafc…dbadbacked Mavericks | 18c | 1,293$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Mavericks | 12c | 1,211$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Mavericks | 17c | 1,137$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Warriors | 76c | 1,105$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.26 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Mavericks | 25c | 1,058$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.16 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 76c | 1,052$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.48 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Mavericks | 29c | 1,047$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Mavericks | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Mavericks | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2440…bf2ebacked Mavericks | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…43a5backed Mavericks | 23c | 900$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…90f3backed Mavericks | 25c | 884.82$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.21 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…646dbacked Mavericks | 8c | 882.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Warriors | 75c | 863.29$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.11 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Warriors | 79c | 850$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Mavericks | 23c | 834.8$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks | 1c | 820.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Mavericks | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Mavericks | 6c | 800$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Mavericks | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Warriors | 75c | 794$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.67 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Warriors | 78c | 777$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.94 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Mavericks | 27c | 727.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Mavericks | 26c | 704.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.17 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Warriors | 77c | 689$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.47 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Mavericks | 8c | 650$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Warriors | 78c | 640.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.9 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…67a4backed Warriors | 77c | 629.87$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4981…5176backed Mavericks | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Warriors | 77c | 610$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.4 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Mavericks | 11c | 609$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Warriors | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Warriors | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…b32ebacked Warriors | 77c | 584.72$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Mavericks | 23c | 547.74$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Mavericks | 27c | 524.22$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4089…91a9backed Warriors | 77c | 500.61$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Mavericks | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Mavericks | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Mavericks | 26c | 461.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Mavericks | 23c | 450$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Mavericks | 28c | 450$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d7…bcb6backed Warriors | 77c | 450$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…b22bbacked Mavericks | 26c | 419.96$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Warriors | 72c | 416.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Warriors | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Mavericks | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dc…14a2backed Mavericks | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Mavericks | 18c | 367.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 352 | 35.2%124 W · 228 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Warriors | 74c | 363.96$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.