TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$927,977
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,003,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $927,977 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets7c82,532$5,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,602.6296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Hornets22c54,748$11,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,950.3433931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Cavaliers44c51,750$22,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,863.2847656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Hornets8c49,728$3,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,978.2562351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Hornets8c31,500$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52011443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Hornets12c24,771$2,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,901.6938143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c72…0946backed Hornets7c23,064$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hornets7c22,407$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.491,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Hornets7c20,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40033752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Hornets9c18,983$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.5234532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets8c16,148$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.363,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Cavaliers71c12,172$8,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,588.7830443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Cavaliers47c11,661$5,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,180.2380146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets34c11,322$3,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,856.241,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Hornets10c9,996$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.1136247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Hornets7c9,984$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.915741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Hornets7c9,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6308219.5%16 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets8c9,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.961,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Hornets8c8,753$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.2430351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dda…4cf6backed Hornets47c7,529$3,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,564.663666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Hornets57c6,142$3,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,528.3961345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Hornets8c5,500$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.0213638.2%52 W · 84 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Hornets8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8d…d880backed Hornets56c4,946$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7501250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Hornets33c4,530$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.5888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Hornets7c4,217$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3911019.1%21 W · 89 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hornets11c3,995$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.875,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Hornets7c3,970$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.646342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0c…76fabacked Hornets8c3,277$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.1410451%53 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69f3…db29backed Hornets0c3,100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10419.8%4 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-81.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Hornets14c2,992$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.4350047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Hornets12c2,773$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.3526431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Hornets7c2,711$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7714129.1%41 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb2d…27e6backed Hornets7c2,659$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.838122.2%18 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Hornets7c2,500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17536434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Hornets8c2,500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19030826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Hornets2c2,411$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.577502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Hornets8c2,300$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9950453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets6c2,198$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.128783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Hornets9c2,159$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7429450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Hornets7c2,133$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3173647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Hornets12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24017546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0564…ce95backed Hornets8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604721.3%10 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Cavaliers71c1,975$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.471,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hornets1c1,961$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.581,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Hornets7c1,679$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5656945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Hornets21c1,655$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35526934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb433…3ad5backed Hornets7c1,650$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.514431.8%14 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc254…b899backed Hornets8c1,625$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306121.3%13 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets8c1,600$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.011,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Hornets36c1,555$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.2136751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Hornets4c1,500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6536514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Hornets9c1,339$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11519944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Hornets26c1,291$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.878337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed Hornets8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Hornets12c1,200$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.486758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e5…dd0fbacked Hornets8c1,146$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.076622.7%15 W · 51 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc4e1…6410backed Hornets25c1,130$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets2c1,122$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.365502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad1…5d7cbacked Hornets9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Hornets8c1,097$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7916617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Hornets8c1,085$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.813929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Hornets7c1,055$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8770951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets8c1,048$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8477745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Cavaliers51c1,029$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.920851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Hornets16c1,025$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2770640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5632…748dbacked Hornets13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Hornets9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9023135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets3c999.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.671,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Cavaliers45c999.98$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.992864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+36.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Hornets7c999.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7061835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecb…f73abacked Hornets8c999.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.991040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Hornets8c937.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7524329.6%72 W · 171 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Cavaliers25c897.15$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.998434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Hornets12c839.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Hornets9c811.05$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9937627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Hornets6c801.66$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.133945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Hornets7c755.52$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.898129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Cavaliers57c750$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.531935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Hornets33c750$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24928347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…8c56backed Hornets65c737.54$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.44632.6%15 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Cavaliers63c700$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25723548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Hornets9c680.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadb9…2067backed Hornets10c680$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6812941.9%54 W · 75 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Hornets11c669.3$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5137011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Hornets10c663.22$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6517335.8%62 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf08…bfc7backed Hornets8c650$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Hornets8c614.87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1911755.6%65 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Hornets7c599.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4545743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Hornets7c599.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4572341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Hornets8c587.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9924151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4661…24d1backed Hornets9c577.78$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5213641.2%56 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Hornets7c571$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9787647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bf3…326bbacked Hornets7c566.65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.651656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x789e…c510backed Hornets10c561.11$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x400b…3160backed Hornets7c549.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.51936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c13…7ab3backed Hornets12c548.51$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.111266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+74.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Cavaliers60c543.59$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.448840.9%36 W · 52 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.