TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof 76ers, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$679,035
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$761,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $679,035 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe83c…5e8fbacked 76ers9c45,690$4,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,252.471,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed 76ers11c35,217$3,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,819.168129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked 76ers10c34,289$3,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,504.4596447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed 76ers11c19,140$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.5476249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed 76ers10c18,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,83033752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked 76ers11c17,723$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.5315741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked 76ers1c17,225$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.278783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked 76ers2c11,909$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3622832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0564…ce95backed 76ers11c10,090$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1044721.3%10 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked 76ers12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed 76ers12c9,850$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.546928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked 76ers12c9,333$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.636253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed 76ers9c9,286$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.7416537%61 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers11c8,179$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.253,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked 76ers9c7,662$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.971,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc575…3fb1backed 76ers9c7,222$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.98287.1%2 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-71.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked 76ers11c6,721$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.8730351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2d…27e6backed 76ers0c6,111$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.228122.2%18 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked 76ers10c5,650$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.49563.2%60 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked 76ers1c4,904$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.431,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked 76ers11c4,873$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.0313638.2%52 W · 84 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c0c…76fabacked 76ers11c4,598$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.4910451%53 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed 76ers1c4,551$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.687502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked 76ers10c4,218$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.7650245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed 76ers3c3,859$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5130061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked 76ers9c3,700$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.8772341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed 76ers9c3,570$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30746342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed 76ers10c3,400$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34013929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc639…997fbacked 76ers11c3,240$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.42742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69f3…db29backed 76ers0c3,200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11419.8%4 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-81.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked 76ers12c3,081$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.9685542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed 76ers11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33033945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed 76ers11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked 76ers11c2,440$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.4325845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked 76ers12c2,244$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.2873647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked 76ers12c2,165$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.0319845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed 76ers9c2,100$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19061345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked 76ers10c2,085$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.29625%24 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked 76ers6c2,050$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12136514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed 76ers10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed 76ers8c1,943$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.449836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a5…50b7backed 76ers11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked 76ers5c1,800$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9049849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed 76ers10c1,715$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.724151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed 76ers10c1,707$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.71,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked 76ers8c1,650$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.530826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed 76ers11c1,577$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.457143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed 76ers8c1,574$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.934425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed 76ers13c1,563$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed 76ers11c1,512$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.365,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed 76ers11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16536434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb37c…164ebacked 76ers10c1,498$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.81040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed 76ers5c1,447$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0511719.7%23 W · 94 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked 76ers8c1,396$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…415ebacked 76ers10c1,368$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked 76ers7c1,300$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4968642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed 76ers11c1,272$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9970951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed 76ers5c1,200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6047229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked 76ers10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9945743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb928…5fd7backed 76ers10c1,106$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.67451.4%38 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed 76ers10c1,100$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10561835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked 76ers1c1,098$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.015502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa273…7786backed 76ers10c1,056$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055435.2%19 W · 35 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed 76ers9c1,056$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0487647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed 76ers10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e28…9bc8backed 76ers9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed 76ers10c999.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed 76ers10c983.25$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5622733%75 W · 152 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dae…cd24backed 76ers13c923.08$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed 76ers3c900$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8537627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x649c…6e4fbacked 76ers4c820.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.152015%3 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed 76ers11c800$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8439843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed 76ers10c750$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7529747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed 76ers1c737.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8523548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed 76ers4c690.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8137011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed 76ers10c633.63$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3628347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed 76ers3c600$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.842434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc3f…2d0fbacked 76ers12c550$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6615244.7%68 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f0…97bbbacked 76ers10c528.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.42917.2%5 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked 76ers13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6516928.4%48 W · 121 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe85d…15eabacked 76ers9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed 76ers12c458.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5593036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d24…c2bfbacked 76ers11c445.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4914749.7%73 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ee…a887backed 76ers6c419.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5296.9%2 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick25cpaid-83%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x81da…421bbacked 76ers12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508748.3%42 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked 76ers12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024329.6%72 W · 171 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed 76ers13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4661…24d1backed 76ers12c375$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4513641.2%56 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c5…2336backed 76ers3c357.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ca…2d58backed 76ers12c355$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed 76ers8c355$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7515613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked 76ers9c352$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3526040%104 W · 156 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcf…76e3backed 76ers9c320$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.25127.5%14 W · 37 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+97.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed 76ers10c315$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.523048.3%111 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e95…8afcbacked 76ers9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked 76ers11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3345348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab3c…5093backed 76ers10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015538.1%59 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.