TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Warriorsof Warriors, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$630,277
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$707,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $630,277 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 602 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Nets40c54,345$21,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,536.0147656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Nets1c52,690$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.6422049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Warriors76c47,041$35,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,216.031,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Nets10c23,480$2,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,327.1633931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets16c14,966$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350.4396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets14c12,578$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.933,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nets16c11,674$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.771,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Nets17c10,466$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.6833752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets17c10,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7001,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Nets18c10,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.9946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Nets1c7,795$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.198783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nets16c7,300$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1541,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Nets1c7,225$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006245.2%28 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Warriors54c6,838$3,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,163.8230443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2d…27e6backed Nets0c6,700$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138122.2%18 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe663…6462backed Warriors75c6,673$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.336747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Nets6c6,467$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.8634425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Nets20c6,019$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.5938143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb928…5fd7backed Nets17c5,867$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.357451.4%38 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Nets17c5,454$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.1416537%61 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Nets40c5,209$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.6611019.1%21 W · 89 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Nets47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Warriors80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Nets16c5,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.9920047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Warriors63c4,809$3,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.046758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Warriors62c4,157$2,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.0834532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Nets20c3,218$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.3277745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Nets40c3,209$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.7122832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f3…db29backed Nets0c3,200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11419.8%4 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-81.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nets0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Nets0c3,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.34573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Nets20c2,978$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.5350245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed Warriors66c2,946$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.788943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Nets21c2,871$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.9585542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets24c2,735$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.335,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nets2c2,675$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.721,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8377…4198backed Warriors67c2,500$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8255940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa0…e7cfbacked Warriors64c2,450$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.981172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Nets35c2,413$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.8766744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Warriors79c2,357$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.611,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Nets1c2,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Nets27c2,225$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60325833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Nets31c2,207$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69526934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Warriors69c2,015$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.4468642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Nets15c2,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31061345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Nets16c1,943$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.889836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce8…3bd3backed Nets55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003250%16 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Nets33c1,757$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.3670640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Warriors49c1,500$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7721,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa822…64e6backed Nets44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66012334.1%42 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Nets18c1,435$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.319845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Nets12c1,400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16413133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9d…552abacked Warriors75c1,327$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.971070%7 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc560…1fc1backed Nets17c1,260$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.260%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x649c…6e4fbacked Nets4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502015%3 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Nets18c1,206$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.7945743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Nets16c1,200$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19256945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Nets28c1,139$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.1747229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets18c1,116$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Nets18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Warriors55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.916848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Nets16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16040726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Nets18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Nets18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Nets1c965$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.735502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Nets17c919.96$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6850453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Nets17c831.26$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3173647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471f…f60abacked Warriors69c800$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2484575.6%34 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Warriors80c798.84$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6413929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e6…216dbacked Nets4c788.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e5…dd0fbacked Warriors62c729.01$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.16622.7%15 W · 51 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Warriors66c701.89$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.0788053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Nets4c700$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7815613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa500…31febacked Warriors75c666.75$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.692665.4%17 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0084…4c4fbacked Warriors80c629$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.87376.7%56 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick77cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Nets41c603.81$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6929…0e4bbacked Nets45c596.53$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.846253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5218…f342backed Nets17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors75c549.17$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.391,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a25…b1d6backed Warriors76c542.1$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.11957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Nets17c536.94$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.281,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Nets2c530$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.423548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ce3…f779backed Nets38c520.18$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.468947.2%42 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Warriors51c510.38$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.614845.9%68 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda87…4e9bbacked Nets16c503.64$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.582015%3 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Nets18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9016928.4%48 W · 121 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f58…9c6abacked Warriors74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1302661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94eb…37e6backed Warriors73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1355156.9%29 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-16.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Warriors80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10023658.1%137 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Nets48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24026640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…15eabacked Nets17c499.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x855a…0985backed Nets17c477.18$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.125457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Warriors57c470.77$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7820851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42f3…1d6abacked Nets22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Warriors57c440.53$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.5338942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Warriors66c409.85$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.354261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Nets16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6461835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nets16c375$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6087647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ca…2d58backed Warriors80c366$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.