NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f5e800d03dfb2785c32d7b2ba5c5f76dddc2916d98dce3c4e2079ec45bf59ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Thunder, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $711,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $686,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $711,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Thunder | 17c | 164,052$28,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,449.77 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7167…4a56backed Warriors | 72c | 155,100$111,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,785.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Warriors | 32c | 80,219$25,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,709.51 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Thunder | 61c | 35,113$21,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,253.85 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Thunder | 80c | 29,667$23,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,588.36 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Warriors | 21c | 22,160$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,606.68 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Thunder | 76c | 21,609$16,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,455.15 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 53c | 20,177$10,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,602.46 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 13c | 17,554$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,226.17 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Warriors | 19c | 15,563$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,586.06 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Thunder | 75c | 15,000$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,249.98 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Thunder | 80c | 14,691$11,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,740.67 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Thunder | 56c | 14,054$7,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,833.07 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Thunder | 38c | 13,517$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,169.74 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Warriors | 14c | 11,219$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,700.02 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 15c | 6,168$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,271.14 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Thunder | 80c | 6,100$4,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,879 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Warriors | 20c | 5,929$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,747.84 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Thunder | 39c | 5,418$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.36 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Warriors | 10c | 5,063$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,556.36 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Warriors | 22c | 4,725$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,685.55 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…9d39backed Thunder | 79c | 4,476$3,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.39 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Warriors | 11c | 4,330$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.58 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Warriors | 19c | 3,989$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.76 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Warriors | 17c | 3,396$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.96 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Warriors | 20c | 3,168$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.04 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 19c | 3,041$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.95 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Warriors | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Warriors | 19c | 2,596$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.56 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Thunder | 79c | 2,559$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.23 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…06b9backed Warriors | 15c | 2,450$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.61 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…8f36backed Warriors | 20c | 2,249$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 19c | 2,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.93 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 19c | 2,014$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.76 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Thunder | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Thunder | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Thunder | 64c | 1,861$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.52 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eec…e852backed Thunder | 63c | 1,833$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.11 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Thunder | 65c | 1,696$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed Warriors | 20c | 1,665$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.48 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Warriors | 31c | 1,651$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.82 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Warriors | 21c | 1,439$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Warriors | 11c | 1,398$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.38 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 69c | 1,374$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.31 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfb…deb3backed Warriors | 10c | 1,291$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Thunder | 2c | 1,091$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Thunder | 80c | 1,058$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.53 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Warriors | 76c | 1,045$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.71 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Warriors | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Warriors | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…90f3backed Warriors | 30c | 982$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Warriors | 11c | 890.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.52 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Thunder | 79c | 857.99$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.81 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Warriors | 18c | 749.28$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.41 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe052…ddb0backed Thunder | 70c | 706.03$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Warriors | 16c | 653.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.34 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Warriors | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Warriors | 19c | 591.59$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.72 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…00aabacked Thunder | 14c | 567.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…590bbacked Warriors | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Warriors | 16c | 545.59$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.12 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e0…5fd9backed Warriors | 23c | 528.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Warriors | 53c | 525$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.4 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Thunder | 76c | 512.67$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.21 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Thunder | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Warriors | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b2…85d5backed Thunder | 80c | 499.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Thunder | 78c | 484.03$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.46 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Thunder | 74c | 473.19$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.16 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Warriors | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Warriors | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Warriors | 22c | 449.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.95 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Warriors | 35c | 434.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.56 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Warriors | 23c | 428.53$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.6 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…0c2cbacked Warriors | 12c | 400.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.79 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Warriors | 19c | 399.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.99 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…15fcbacked Thunder | 57c | 399.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…85f9backed Warriors | 27c | 366.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.6 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Thunder | 76c | 359.57$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Thunder | 80c | 331.78$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.1 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Warriors | 16c | 320.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.94 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed Warriors | 31c | 318.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.51 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 7c | 300.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.75 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Warriors | 20c | 300.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.01 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Warriors | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Warriors | 7c | 300$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Thunder | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Warriors | 7c | 299.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.99 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Warriors | 20c | 295.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.62 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Warriors | 79c | 292.41$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Thunder | 40c | 291.65$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Thunder | 78c | 281.68$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.76 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21b…621bbacked Warriors | 29c | 278.45$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…7b7fbacked Warriors | 20c | 265.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.02 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Thunder | 73c | 264.69$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.22 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Thunder | 79c | 259.27$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.82 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.