NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbf40e48d8ea17cd476a30087e82f64a9cd3d5e05164acf3c6ebfab027eb51a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Penguins, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Sharks | 67c | 7,000$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Penguins | 34c | 6,251$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.46 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d8…22a9backed Sharks | 39c | 5,943$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Penguins | 39c | 4,501$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Penguins | 37c | 3,777$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.32 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff90…993cbacked Penguins | 61c | 3,504$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Penguins | 63c | 3,397$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.63 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Penguins | 60c | 3,355$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.89 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29e7…0832backed Penguins | 61c | 2,439$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Sharks | 39c | 2,396$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.64 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Penguins | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Penguins | 42c | 1,626$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.85 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Penguins | 2c | 1,501$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks | 39c | 1,365$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.2 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Sharks | 74c | 1,356$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sharks | 58c | 1,313$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Penguins | 60c | 1,295$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Sharks | 52c | 1,067$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.92 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Sharks | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sharks | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…c8d4backed Sharks | 39c | 954.39$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…0dc6backed Penguins | 61c | 954.39$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…9a77backed Penguins | 3c | 931$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sharks | 37c | 865$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.95 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…cc0dbacked Penguins | 63c | 850.19$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc4…ff28backed Sharks | 38c | 850$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e57…da97backed Penguins | 66c | 807.08$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…aad2backed Penguins | 61c | 765.33$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb645…4845backed Sharks | 39c | 765.33$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Penguins | 62c | 689.59$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.16 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Sharks | 38c | 680.72$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.05 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Sharks | 33c | 622.25$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.91 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Sharks | 50c | 593.26$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.23 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Sharks | 39c | 551.68$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.52 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…13f7backed Penguins | 37c | 544.32$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Sharks | 37c | 506.66$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.87 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sharks | 39c | 505.23$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.27 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Sharks | 57c | 496.61$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.1 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Penguins | 52c | 482.31$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.06 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…3290backed Sharks | 39c | 477.03$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…6623backed Penguins | 61c | 389.52$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…5369backed Sharks | 39c | 389.52$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.61 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Penguins | 59c | 388.92$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.46 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…62e4backed Sharks | 40c | 374.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e4…5b88backed Sharks | 40c | 374.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8914…b477backed Sharks | 40c | 374.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b8…2ee0backed Penguins | 61c | 370.55$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x405a…6382backed Sharks | 39c | 370.55$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Penguins | 35c | 357.75$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.21 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…1988backed Penguins | 61c | 342.16$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…a2a7backed Sharks | 39c | 342.16$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Sharks | 37c | 335$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.95 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Penguins | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Sharks | 37c | 304.01$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.53 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…e9a2backed Penguins | 61c | 303.28$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Penguins | 32c | 301.68$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Penguins | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Sharks | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…4589backed Penguins | 62c | 255.77$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Sharks | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9042…dcf5backed Sharks | 40c | 249.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53f…ebc2backed Sharks | 40c | 249.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sharks | 36c | 243$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.39 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…532dbacked Penguins | 61c | 224.54$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Penguins | 33c | 213.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Sharks | 74c | 204.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Sharks | 39c | 201.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.76 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Penguins | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…d781backed Sharks | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…2faabacked Sharks | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Sharks | 41c | 179.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…e487backed Penguins | 61c | 163.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b5…8833backed Penguins | 61c | 163.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d1…40fdbacked Penguins | 61c | 163.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed Sharks | 68c | 140.59$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3c…7a9abacked Sharks | 39c | 139.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Penguins | 22c | 138.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Penguins | 37c | 137.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…e7a0backed Sharks | 38c | 129.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Sharks | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecd2…03bbbacked Sharks | 41c | 124.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…4976backed Sharks | 40c | 118.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1417…26dabacked Penguins | 43c | 111.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…5160backed Sharks | 38c | 109.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5578…f8babacked Sharks | 40c | 107.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…585fbacked Penguins | 61c | 106.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e2…8bc9backed Penguins | 51c | 103.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Penguins | 36c | 103.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Sharks | 49c | 101.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Sharks | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Penguins | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Sharks | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Penguins | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…9543backed Penguins | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Penguins | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Sharks | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +55%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…9344backed Sharks | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.