TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Timberwolves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof 76ers, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,318
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$247,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,318 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3b1…6f55backed 76ers16c26,741$4,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,178.8120238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked 76ers20c22,878$4,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,618.433931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked 76ers0c11,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers13c10,913$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.421,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked 76ers13c6,100$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.930826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed 76ers7c5,678$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.911,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked 76ers22c5,449$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.4280146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed 76ers13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked 76ers10c2,812$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.2372341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0564…ce95backed 76ers12c2,750$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.994721.3%10 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed 76ers1c2,428$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.971,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed 76ers11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22029747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed 76ers1c1,960$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.77502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ad4…dc12backed 76ers16c1,638$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed 76ers11c1,565$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1861835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed 76ers14c1,393$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked 76ers13c1,346$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9517335.8%62 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1385…7097backed 76ers13c1,200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked 76ers14c1,200$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16216928.4%48 W · 121 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed 76ers3c1,113$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1330061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked 76ers9c1,082$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.188783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9614…5247backed 76ers13c1,045$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.85850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked 76ers14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed 76ers13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13036434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked 76ers14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14068642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed 76ers11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed 76ers20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked 76ers14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed 76ers12c999.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9931125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked 76ers13c936.32$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4250245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 76ers22c837.11$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18026934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c56…5a66backed 76ers12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011040.9%45 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd9…2af2backed 76ers13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004936.7%18 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed91…4bd6backed 76ers14c726.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006334.9%22 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed 76ers16c685.02$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1647229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed 76ers12c634.45$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4537734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed 76ers18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008536.5%31 W · 54 L+8.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+61.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed 76ers10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed 76ers17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8530641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed 76ers12c454.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.539744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed 76ers17c407.33$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2511755.6%65 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0717…49f3backed 76ers14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+82.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked 76ers14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024329.6%72 W · 171 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed 76ers21c350$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.546342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed 76ers20c333.53$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6730331.4%95 W · 208 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked 76ers11c318.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb662…8262backed 76ers30c318$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed 76ers19c315.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked 76ers18c305.56$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5527735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac7…bdf1backed 76ers14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed 76ers17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed 76ers13c290$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377935.4%28 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked 76ers12c288.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2d…27e6backed 76ers18c288.81$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.118122.2%18 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa954…b8edbacked 76ers12c288.31$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe797…dbbdbacked Timberwolves70c280$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8a…f0ddbacked 76ers11c251.18$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.635916.9%10 W · 49 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Timberwolves65c251$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6285347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed 76ers15c246.31$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3477437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab3c…5093backed 76ers13c230$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.815538.1%59 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked 76ers20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed 76ers12c200$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.240726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked 76ers13c199.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2593041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed 76ers13c193.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4222733%75 W · 152 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1990…e954backed 76ers23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked 76ers12c167.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9717420.1%35 W · 139 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc64e…3cdbbacked 76ers11c160$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.33941%16 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xffb8…646dbacked 76ers15c155$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2510720.6%22 W · 85 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed 76ers13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019038.4%73 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6747…046bbacked 76ers13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed 76ers14c149.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.326041.2%107 W · 153 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xecc8…3b17backed 76ers30c147$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd46b…5dabbacked 76ers14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010226.5%27 W · 75 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8659…9178backed 76ers14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-79.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4290…7eb0backed 76ers8c140.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e95…8afcbacked 76ers11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed 76ers15c133.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.195848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed 76ers13c124.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.294951.3%487 W · 462 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ac…ff64backed Timberwolves70c116$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac56…5b67backed 76ers18c108.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208252.4%43 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…1730backed 76ers14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155735.1%20 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked 76ers13c104.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431631.6%100 W · 216 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0c…9d02backed 76ers13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1326124.1%63 W · 198 L+1.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ea…d0c1backed 76ers17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1713727.7%38 W · 99 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked 76ers11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1135734.5%123 W · 234 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8fd…d003backed 76ers14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144744.7%21 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…53c8backed 76ers13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1315942.8%68 W · 91 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed 76ers14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415741.4%65 W · 92 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9730…4504backed 76ers12c99.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129334.4%32 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c02…b4d4backed 76ers24c96.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0633639%131 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e83…6e50backed 76ers16c94.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.55825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked 76ers16c90$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.49625%24 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1738…84d9backed 76ers17c90$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde22…c564backed 76ers18c89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed 76ers12c86.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4171823.3%167 W · 551 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked 76ers17c85.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.291,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…a5dbbacked 76ers13c84.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114245.2%19 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fd…95eabacked 76ers19c80.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156238.7%24 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c4…a92dbacked 76ers13c79.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.397939.2%31 W · 48 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa054…ea7abacked 76ers32c79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.