NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64474a268fec1409b11ab2c8e39a4b646ba9df5952e4fa606adef8c2a0ceafd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Hornets, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $459,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $517,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $459,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Mavericks | 77c | 70,295$53,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,382.19 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hornets | 19c | 27,316$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,060.21 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Hornets | 25c | 25,126$6,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,281.82 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Hornets | 26c | 22,192$5,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,871.55 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Hornets | 19c | 16,736$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.97 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Hornets | 21c | 13,959$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.55 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6178…f9a9backed Mavericks | 76c | 13,146$10,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Hornets | 25c | 12,198$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,091.36 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hornets | 18c | 10,700$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.39 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Hornets | 21c | 9,780$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.61 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 20c | 9,050$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.47 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Hornets | 22c | 7,273$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Mavericks | 78c | 6,430$5,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.66 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Hornets | 9c | 5,906$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.29 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Hornets | 17c | 4,350$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Hornets | 7c | 4,000$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.29 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe957…85c4backed Mavericks | 73c | 3,692$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Hornets | 17c | 3,645$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.08 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Mavericks | 77c | 3,518$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.07 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Hornets | 24c | 3,335$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.02 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…1e74backed Hornets | 15c | 3,084$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.57 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Hornets | 23c | 3,005$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.15 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mavericks | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Hornets | 7c | 2,883$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.37 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hornets | 18c | 2,779$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.92 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hornets | 19c | 2,650$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.89 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Hornets | 18c | 2,640$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.79 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets | 17c | 2,293$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.66 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets | 18c | 2,237$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.51 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Hornets | 21c | 1,905$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Hornets | 13c | 1,871$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.27 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…4ad1backed Mavericks | 78c | 1,791$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Mavericks | 80c | 1,767$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.43 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Hornets | 16c | 1,565$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.38 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…d826backed Mavericks | 78c | 1,550$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0445…e4dfbacked Hornets | 21c | 1,550$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Hornets | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc693…c4e0backed Mavericks | 78c | 1,421$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.94 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Hornets | 7c | 1,400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Mavericks | 75c | 1,382$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.52 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Hornets | 19c | 1,276$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.41 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…d1a2backed Mavericks | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets | 2c | 1,195$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Hornets | 11c | 1,144$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mavericks | 80c | 1,144$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.73 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mavericks | 79c | 1,106$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.25 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e62…ec52backed Hornets | 23c | 1,085$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hornets | 18c | 1,065$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.47 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Hornets | 17c | 1,036$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.1 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Mavericks | 80c | 1,014$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.87 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Hornets | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Hornets | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Hornets | 22c | 968.07$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.23 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…d133backed Hornets | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets | 4c | 819.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hornets | 23c | 780$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Hornets | 3c | 761.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Hornets | 20c | 761.14$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.91 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…7097backed Hornets | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets | 25c | 699.94$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.98 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Hornets | 18c | 623$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Hornets | 15c | 601.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d9…3bf4backed Hornets | 22c | 575.96$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Hornets | 20c | 554.03$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Hornets | 11c | 550$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Mavericks | 78c | 536.87$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.11 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Mavericks | 79c | 527$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.52 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Hornets | 3c | 502.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Mavericks | 79c | 500.01$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…a3cbbacked Mavericks | 78c | 489.74$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2e…9937backed Hornets | 23c | 489.7$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf281…d4abbacked Hornets | 6c | 465.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b3…8cf7backed Hornets | 17c | 454.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…a7cfbacked Hornets | 22c | 419.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Mavericks | 77c | 414.79$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Mavericks | 80c | 405.53$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Hornets | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Hornets | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…f9a6backed Hornets | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets | 20c | 360.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.11 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Hornets | 18c | 329.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mavericks | 73c | 321.12$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Hornets | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Hornets | 20c | 308.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…7b55backed Hornets | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Mavericks | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hornets | 11c | 299.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Hornets | 13c | 289.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 12c | 285.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hornets | 6c | 282$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets | 19c | 265.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…0bc1backed Mavericks | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Hornets | 25c | 252.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Hornets | 16c | 250$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hornets | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Hornets | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed Hornets | 19c | 233.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fd…252cbacked Hornets | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Mavericks | 77c | 215.7$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.