TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Atletico Madrid beat Real Madrid?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,629
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,629 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked No54c11,612$6,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,385.783444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes42c8,920$3,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,762.812338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b2…841cbacked Yes63c3,430$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.03633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes26c3,313$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.0715516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes25c2,539$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.066753.7%36 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No59c2,220$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.9329545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No75c1,308$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33035054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc31e…82cdbacked Yes28c1,250$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No69c1,222$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc2…0933backed No76c1,220$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes32c1,006$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.631752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x709d…1c93backed Yes24c792.83$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7683…d93fbacked Yes52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes31c650$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c0…3a39backed Yes27c611.56$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No73c554.99$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.853345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked No74c505$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc441…92eabacked No76c456.15$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed No61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec1…d84abacked Yes24c398.46$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8483…47debacked Yes27c353.48$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No75c304.92$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3743255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No70c303.29$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.73944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes18c285.19$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…dc53backed No77c260.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd316…bca3backed Yes25c208$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed No50c200.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.372835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No74c194.69$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2727652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes27c166.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb482…fbc7backed Yes32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No76c150$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes56c142.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf028…2570backed No76c134$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b82…64bcbacked Yes24c134$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7d3…2425backed Yes23c131$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes22c108.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.912714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-42.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…88acbacked Yes28c102.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.922166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+41.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6012251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a28…2882backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b13…b5c2backed Yes25c99.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No63c94.68$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.276544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19da…6c55backed No77c94$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5995…6ad1backed Yes23c94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92c7…0e11backed Yes23c85.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa865…a2c3backed No76c85$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd22c…c656backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c4…6b1abacked Yes53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9af…f7b2backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9594…eefabacked Yes26c66.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1b…c5f9backed No76c64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5042…f786backed Yes27c61.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.53922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb560…535bbacked No78c55$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4535…4a97backed Yes22c55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4282…70b9backed No76c52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2936…07f5backed Yes27c45.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ef…d56cbacked Yes52c44.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d57…98f1backed No77c42$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+61.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8086…f1cdbacked Yes27c40.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6edc…6975backed No76c40.53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.73728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf92…37eabacked No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f25…b14cbacked Yes27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6342…82e5backed No77c39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x111e…b2cbbacked No74c38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6a…020ebacked No78c37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a5…6638backed No77c37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde03…535fbacked Yes29c35.07$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe217…0f9fbacked No41c34.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33b…b936backed No75c34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.337452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d5…ca13backed No76c32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x860d…f293backed No78c27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd4…d034backed No77c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa586…8437backed No77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126940.6%28 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6841…154cbacked No77c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8c…9f0fbacked No74c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0626…e9f4backed No78c23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329b…c012backed No78c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb473…bab5backed No77c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b09…75f8backed No77c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb854…fcd3backed No77c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f09…b4bcbacked No77c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b75…7aa2backed No76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x603f…dc31backed No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f0…82b6backed No77c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e9…e16abacked No74c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c35…86f7backed No78c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb130…81b5backed No77c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc93…4c32backed No76c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec96…a5b3backed No78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae2…5323backed No77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ad…f02dbacked No76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf21a…08a2backed No76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a88…bc8cbacked No77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf663…2535backed No78c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebe…4639backed No77c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.