MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd31d6b068012a73178017c91ae81baaf38dc0931b63efb972eed9b9c4d4782ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Rays, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Rays | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 46c | 22,916$10,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,370.65 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Orioles | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rays | 62c | 15,074$9,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,304.51 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Orioles | 51c | 11,412$5,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639.56 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 60c | 11,015$6,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,632.16 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Orioles | 36c | 9,043$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.85 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Rays | 48c | 8,000$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,820 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Rays | 52c | 6,666$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,466.32 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Orioles | 48c | 6,528$3,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,394.56 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…c353backed Rays | 78c | 6,378$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 55c | 3,091$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 49c | 2,657$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.01 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Orioles | 31c | 2,403$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Orioles | 21c | 2,128$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Rays | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 62c | 1,758$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.52 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 48c | 1,670$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Orioles | 13c | 1,220$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.81 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Orioles | 42c | 1,159$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.55 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Orioles | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 46c | 999.87$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.93 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e4…51debacked Rays | 61c | 974.01$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 56c | 867.65$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.23 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Orioles | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 50c | 676$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.27 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…f59abacked Orioles | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rays | 75c | 604.24$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.01 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Rays | 51c | 599.99$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Rays | 55c | 597.24$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.48 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Orioles | 47c | 573.81$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.12 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 23c | 569.9$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.82 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Rays | 78c | 529.58$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.37 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Orioles | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Rays | 53c | 479.47$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.12 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Orioles | 49c | 461.22$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.22 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Rays | 39c | 454.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rays | 47c | 444.11$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.55 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Orioles | 45c | 405.83$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.3 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rays | 53c | 396.06$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.91 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Rays | 51c | 382$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.08 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 30c | 381.43$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.12 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rays | 44c | 378.74$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.19 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Rays | 53c | 370.51$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.37 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Orioles | 46c | 370$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Rays | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rays | 51c | 361.22$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.22 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Rays | 29c | 340.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 29c | 314.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rays | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Rays | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Orioles | 48c | 253$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.42 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Rays | 54c | 249.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Orioles | 67c | 244.06$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Rays | 51c | 235.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Rays | 49c | 230.94$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rays | 54c | 230$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Rays | 52c | 220$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Rays | 55c | 193.15$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.23 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Rays | 52c | 193$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Rays | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Rays | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 46c | 191.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Orioles | 49c | 188.4$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Orioles | 66c | 188$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Rays | 41c | 158.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Orioles | 26c | 155.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48bb…1d9ebacked Rays | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Rays | 52c | 130.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdf…f30abacked Rays | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Orioles | 25c | 120.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.54 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Rays | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5089…0a3abacked Rays | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Orioles | 45c | 101.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Orioles | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Rays | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Rays | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…6b40backed Rays | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…12f1backed Orioles | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Orioles | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Rays | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Rays | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rays | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Orioles | 42c | 91.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad5…4991backed Rays | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de6…e6f5backed Rays | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Rays | 53c | 80.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Rays | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Orioles | 47c | 76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…081bbacked Rays | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Rays | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Orioles | 46c | 74.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Orioles | 16c | 72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001c…a869backed Rays | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd144…4159backed Rays | 75c | 65.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Rays | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rays vs. Oriolesthis page
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.