NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1270d1a9d60f3af2ce62ba7cb5a5fb8c4c4d0a99d6e4810bb68e146894b3e6e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Lakers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $310,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $342,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Magic | 63c | 25,971$16,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,689.93 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Magic | 39c | 20,679$8,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,606.28 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Lakers | 19c | 13,959$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.47 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Lakers | 63c | 13,554$8,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,524.86 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Lakers | 61c | 13,068$7,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,991.77 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers | 46c | 11,765$5,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,410.99 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Lakers | 23c | 10,237$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.67 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29b…b635backed Lakers | 61c | 9,898$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Lakers | 68c | 8,519$5,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,826.34 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Lakers | 44c | 8,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Lakers | 63c | 7,937$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Lakers | 42c | 6,250$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…eb70backed Lakers | 11c | 5,219$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 22cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 43c | 5,016$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Lakers | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Magic | 80c | 4,889$3,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.35 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 43c | 4,751$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.43 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Lakers | 62c | 4,032$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.71 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Magic | 38c | 3,960$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.09 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Magic | 38c | 3,874$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.82 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Magic | 39c | 3,842$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.38 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 55c | 3,556$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.38 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Magic | 32c | 3,521$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.47 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc7…b6e4backed Lakers | 80c | 3,242$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Lakers | 63c | 3,191$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Magic | 46c | 2,987$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.85 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Magic | 38c | 2,830$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.82 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 37c | 2,759$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.54 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Lakers | 62c | 2,700$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Lakers | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Magic | 39c | 2,500$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…ac82backed Lakers | 62c | 2,088$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Lakers | 65c | 2,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Magic | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Magic | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.99 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Lakers | 32c | 1,740$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.19 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 37c | 1,716$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.85 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lakers | 2c | 1,703$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Magic | 36c | 1,652$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.05 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Magic | 38c | 1,586$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.02 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Lakers | 63c | 1,586$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f72…4d8ebacked Lakers | 9c | 1,495$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Lakers | 63c | 1,462$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.11 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Lakers | 1c | 1,445$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Magic | 44c | 1,431$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.19 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Lakers | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Lakers | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Magic | 37c | 1,207$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.2 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Magic | 38c | 1,125$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.5 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa483…c2b6backed Lakers | 62c | 1,109$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Magic | 36c | 1,101$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.51 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Magic | 37c | 1,065$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.7 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Magic | 37c | 1,059$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.94 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Magic | 38c | 1,057$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.29 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Lakers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.08 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lakers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…2257backed Magic | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Lakers | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Lakers | 68c | 884.39$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Lakers | 2c | 829$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…512bbacked Lakers | 37c | 811.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 219 | 35.6%78 W · 141 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4517backed Lakers | 61c | 811.35$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lakers | 46c | 800$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.7 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Lakers | 54c | 722.59$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.2 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Magic | 32c | 705$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.5 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Lakers | 57c | 648.99$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.84 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Lakers | 16c | 626.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Lakers | 45c | 610.67$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lakers | 61c | 600$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Magic | 34c | 580.39$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.47 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Magic | 36c | 555.13$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.63 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Lakers | 35c | 533.27$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lakers | 63c | 514$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.82 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…40b6backed Magic | 37c | 510.65$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Magic | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.99 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Lakers | 63c | 498.16$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Lakers | 22c | 490.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…323cbacked Lakers | 62c | 471.17$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Magic | 47c | 446.37$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.57 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…d105backed Lakers | 63c | 438.1$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Magic | 37c | 428.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.22 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Magic | 60c | 417.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.86 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Magic | 35c | 412.09$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.41 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x738d…4df6backed Lakers | 26c | 391.14$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…f4f2backed Lakers | 61c | 389.81$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Magic | 37c | 381.91$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.57 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…7bcabacked Magic | 38c | 366.03$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.94 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2d…8b38backed Magic | 38c | 326.1$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Magic | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Magic | 36c | 314.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.07 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8171…8e32backed Lakers | 8c | 308.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Lakers | 63c | 302.75$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.73 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Lakers | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Lakers | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Lakers | 63c | 288.9$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.01 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Lakers | 12c | 280$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Lakers | 62c | 279.49$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.49 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x337b…0503backed Magic | 38c | 278.78$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.84 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.