MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf16de5b23db880199de924850bab42394f0f7630cf412464ac2ffd7c175ae61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Rays, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $652,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $635,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $652,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rays | 41c | 493,172$201,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201,668.74 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Blue Jays | 59c | 117,794$69,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,295.5 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 95,000$56,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,800 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 41,539$24,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,026.23 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Rays | 40c | 38,421$15,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,535 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 38,133$22,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,253.2 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 60c | 32,995$19,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,197.8 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 63c | 24,098$15,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,011.99 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Blue Jays | 59c | 24,000$14,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,840 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Blue Jays | 60c | 15,111$9,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,044.4 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Blue Jays | 60c | 13,651$8,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,470.14 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Blue Jays | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.98 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 69c | 9,445$6,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.2 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Rays | 13c | 5,280$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.19 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 4,105$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.12 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Rays | 22c | 3,698$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.57 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jays | 78c | 3,148$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.19 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 75c | 2,753$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Blue Jays | 59c | 2,600$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Blue Jays | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rays | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Blue Jays | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Rays | 41c | 2,464$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.89 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 38c | 1,731$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.48 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Rays | 20c | 1,700$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Rays | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Rays | 41c | 1,403$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.23 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rays | 40c | 1,072$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.78 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rays | 26c | 1,022$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.66 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.01 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Rays | 3c | 999.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Rays | 3c | 901.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Blue Jays | 65c | 878.46$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.46 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rays | 40c | 756.28$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.51 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 75c | 756.19$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.72 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Rays | 40c | 737$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.8 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 31c | 666.6$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.13 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Rays | 40c | 616$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.4 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rays | 39c | 607.8$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.04 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 594.62$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.62 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Blue Jays | 60c | 550$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 526.14$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.15 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 508.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.33 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rays | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 40c | 413.19$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.27 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dea…3adfbacked Rays | 41c | 410$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 15c | 410$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Blue Jays | 60c | 399.32$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.73 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Blue Jays | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blue Jays | 59c | 316$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.56 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Blue Jays | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Blue Jays | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Rays | 40c | 280$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…8547backed Blue Jays | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c2…faa6backed Blue Jays | 60c | 245$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf79…fd28backed Blue Jays | 60c | 206.35$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Blue Jays | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Blue Jays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x599a…107dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 187.57$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 176.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Blue Jays | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…2ab3backed Blue Jays | 61c | 168.62$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Blue Jays | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Blue Jays | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Blue Jays | 80c | 161.95$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Blue Jays | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Rays | 42c | 153.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 71c | 151.97$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…1630backed Blue Jays | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Rays | 12c | 132.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Rays | 9c | 124.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Rays | 16c | 121.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Blue Jays | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Rays | 21c | 112.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3473…d211backed Blue Jays | 79c | 112.84$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae0…e5dfbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 111.14$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5393…6197backed Blue Jays | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Rays | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Blue Jays | 67c | 84.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…73fdbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…c353backed Blue Jays | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Rays | 41c | 69.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 63.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ff…a245backed Blue Jays | 60c | 63.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…b88ebacked Blue Jays | 60c | 57.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Blue Jays | 62c | 56.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d1…585fbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rays | 29c | 52.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rays | 39c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Rays | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf974…f5eebacked Blue Jays | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…e1a3backed Rays | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x928f…96cfbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rays vs. Blue Jaysthis page
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.