MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f85d04bdcbe8370a35c58aea4410d2c100455e829aa0f3fb85b242b3e41616b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox | 51c | 5,788$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.88 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed White Sox | 52c | 4,556$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.47 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked White Sox | 11c | 4,357$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.82 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Orioles | 47c | 3,961$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.33 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed White Sox | 67c | 3,745$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.82 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked White Sox | 51c | 3,724$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.4 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked White Sox | 53c | 2,785$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.24 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Orioles | 28c | 2,585$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.08 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 49c | 2,226$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.26 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Orioles | 48c | 2,089$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.54 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Orioles | 39c | 2,072$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox | 50c | 1,558$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.99 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 48c | 1,259$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.31 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked White Sox | 38c | 1,060$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.99 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 48c | 1,000$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.85 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed White Sox | 14c | 994.79$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.73 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 35c | 831.62$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.12 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Orioles | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.92 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 47c | 813.82$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.68 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Orioles | 45c | 800$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.5 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed White Sox | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 50c | 770.63$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.73 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 53c | 754$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.62 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Orioles | 49c | 750$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed White Sox | 53c | 706.84$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.56 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked White Sox | 47c | 676.68$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.04 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox | 33c | 642.21$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.79 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Orioles | 50c | 630$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Orioles | 53c | 628.75$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.75 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked White Sox | 56c | 621.22$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.51 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Orioles | 50c | 580$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed White Sox | 7c | 519.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed White Sox | 72c | 485.77$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.75 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 45c | 471.16$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.14 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed White Sox | 55c | 427.27$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Orioles | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Orioles | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Orioles | 52c | 387.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.67 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…e822backed White Sox | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…035ebacked White Sox | 19c | 300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed White Sox | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.57 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Orioles | 78c | 299$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.72 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed White Sox | 18c | 287.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791c…7910backed Orioles | 42c | 286.96$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.96 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed White Sox | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed White Sox | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed White Sox | 52c | 215.38$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Orioles | 49c | 204.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.07 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked White Sox | 51c | 199.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Orioles | 49c | 199.31$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.65 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed White Sox | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed White Sox | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Orioles | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 44c | 155.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked White Sox | 51c | 154.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed White Sox | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8212backed Orioles | 51c | 136.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked White Sox | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0d…59d0backed Orioles | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…8cfbbacked White Sox | 51c | 114.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed White Sox | 78c | 104.36$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed White Sox | 53c | 102.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.33 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked White Sox | 21c | 90.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…307bbacked Orioles | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed White Sox | 51c | 78.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b36…bb52backed White Sox | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed White Sox | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Orioles | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Orioles | 49c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed White Sox | 35c | 64.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Orioles | 50c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed White Sox | 53c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked White Sox | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fc…5d5bbacked Orioles | 73c | 54.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Orioles | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Orioles | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Orioles | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Orioles | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…67dfbacked White Sox | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…bb8dbacked Orioles | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Orioles | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x799f…c6b6backed Orioles | 48c | 41.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…6ce0backed Orioles | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f5…6905backed Orioles | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Orioles | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Orioles | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Orioles | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Orioles | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Orioles | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Orioles | 50c | 39.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Orioles | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…466dbacked White Sox | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Orioles | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked White Sox | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Orioles | 49c | 27.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…0faabacked Orioles | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…2b64backed White Sox | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orioles vs. White Soxthis page
- NRFI: Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.